3.18 BTC Afternoon Bullish Analysis

1-hour chart: BTC retested near 73000 and received strong support, quickly recovering the 74000 level. The Bollinger Band middle band turned upward, price returned above the band, MA7/MA30 golden cross pointing upward, short-term bulls have returned. Support below at 73500-73800 is solid; pullbacks present low-entry long opportunities.

Fed Decision Catalyst: Tonight's FOMC meeting is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged. The market has already fully priced in hawkish expectations; bad news exhausted becomes good news. Even if the dot plot leans hawkish, Powell's speech will likely signal cautious balance without further tightening expectations; peak rate hike expectations have topped out, subsequent liquidity tightening pressure weakens marginally, creating a repair window for risk assets. BTC as the leading crypto asset rebounds first.

Bulls Building Momentum: Yesterday's surge to 75998 was healthy accumulation, institutions haven't fled completely but rather took short-term profits and cleaned weak hands. Current fear & greed index sits at extreme fear levels, a typical stage-bottom buying signal. Whales and ETF funds show continuous net inflows, bulls accumulating at low levels obviously, rebound momentum is sufficient.

Geopolitics and Regulation Shift to Support: Middle East tensions boost safe-haven demand. BTC combines safe-haven and inflation-hedge properties, increasing capital allocation appetite. South Korea and Hong Kong regulatory tightening serves long-term industry standardization, short-term disruptions fade, compliance acceleration attracts institutional capital, risk appetite rebounds quickly, opening broader rebound space for BTC.

Operation Suggestion: Buy 73500-73000, Targets 75500-76000