As the Federal Reserve interest rate decision meeting enters the final countdown, Bitcoin has quickly retreated after touching a high of 75,998 USD, currently making final adjustments near 74,155 USD before choosing direction. The 4-hour MACD shows a clear death cross signal, while the hourly moving average system displays a bearish arrangement with significant short-term pullback pressure.
📊 Bitcoin Technical Analysis (Updated to 74,155 USD)
The daily level remains in a battle near the 60-day moving average (approximately 73,734 USD), with RSI at 60 indicating neutral to slightly strong momentum but not overbought. However, the 4-hour MACD death cross continues to diverge, and the 1-hour chart price has broken below all short-term moving averages, with bearish momentum being released.
Upper Resistance: 74,500-75,000 USD (short-term moving average pressure zone, rebound test short area) Lower Support: 73,150-73,000 USD (50% Fibonacci retracement level and MA20 support band)
⚡ Ethereum Technical Analysis
Ethereum is moving in tandem with Bitcoin's pullback and likewise faces MACD death cross pressure on the 4-hour chart, but the daily structure remains stronger than BTC with dense moving average support below.
Main Strategy - Shorts: Light short position at 74,500-74,800 USD rebound zone, stop loss above 75,300 USD, target 73,200-73,000 USD Secondary Strategy - Longs: If pullback to 73,000-73,150 USD stabilizes, consider short longs, stop loss at 72,500 USD, target 74,200 USD
Ethereum Strategy
Main Strategy - Shorts: Light short position at 2,340-2,360 USD rebound zone, stop loss at 2,400 USD, target 2,240-2,260 USD Secondary Strategy - Longs: If pullback to 2,220-2,240 USD stabilizes, consider short longs, stop loss at 2,180 USD, target 2,320 USD
Risk Warning: Tonight's Federal Reserve decision is the biggest variable. It is recommended to maintain light positions or observe before data release, with strict stop losses.
Do you think after tonight's interest rate decision is announced, the market will first test the support level and then rebound, or directly launch an upside attack? Feel free to share your views in the comments section!
⚡ Bulls and Bears Enter Critical Zone
As the Federal Reserve interest rate decision meeting enters the final countdown, Bitcoin has quickly retreated after touching a high of 75,998 USD, currently making final adjustments near 74,155 USD before choosing direction. The 4-hour MACD shows a clear death cross signal, while the hourly moving average system displays a bearish arrangement with significant short-term pullback pressure.
📊 Bitcoin Technical Analysis (Updated to 74,155 USD)
The daily level remains in a battle near the 60-day moving average (approximately 73,734 USD), with RSI at 60 indicating neutral to slightly strong momentum but not overbought. However, the 4-hour MACD death cross continues to diverge, and the 1-hour chart price has broken below all short-term moving averages, with bearish momentum being released.
Upper Resistance: 74,500-75,000 USD (short-term moving average pressure zone, rebound test short area)
Lower Support: 73,150-73,000 USD (50% Fibonacci retracement level and MA20 support band)
⚡ Ethereum Technical Analysis
Ethereum is moving in tandem with Bitcoin's pullback and likewise faces MACD death cross pressure on the 4-hour chart, but the daily structure remains stronger than BTC with dense moving average support below.
Upper Resistance: 2,360-2,380 USD
Lower Support: 2,250-2,220 USD
📈 Intraday Short-term Strategy Update
Bitcoin Strategy
Main Strategy - Shorts: Light short position at 74,500-74,800 USD rebound zone, stop loss above 75,300 USD, target 73,200-73,000 USD
Secondary Strategy - Longs: If pullback to 73,000-73,150 USD stabilizes, consider short longs, stop loss at 72,500 USD, target 74,200 USD
Ethereum Strategy
Main Strategy - Shorts: Light short position at 2,340-2,360 USD rebound zone, stop loss at 2,400 USD, target 2,240-2,260 USD
Secondary Strategy - Longs: If pullback to 2,220-2,240 USD stabilizes, consider short longs, stop loss at 2,180 USD, target 2,320 USD
Risk Warning: Tonight's Federal Reserve decision is the biggest variable. It is recommended to maintain light positions or observe before data release, with strict stop losses.
Do you think after tonight's interest rate decision is announced, the market will first test the support level and then rebound, or directly launch an upside attack? Feel free to share your views in the comments section!