#美联储重启降息步伐 Is the Fed really going to cut rates this time? The market is betting on an 89% probability, but internal disagreements make this highly uncertain.

If rate cuts actually happen, what does it mean for crypto? Liquidity is like water—it flows to where returns are highest. $BTC ’s narrative as "digital gold" will get even stronger, and institutional money will likely increase their positions. $ETH already has stable staking yields, plus there’s ETF speculation—double buffs stacking up. As for altcoins, history shows that rate cut cycles often mark the start of rotation rallies, so patient investors can make good gains.

But don’t just expect prices to skyrocket. At current levels, the bullish news might already be priced in, and when the rate cut is actually announced, it could trigger a “buy the rumor, sell the news” pullback. Even worse, if inflation data doesn’t cooperate and the rate cut plan gets scrapped, altcoins will be the first to crash—30%+ drops are no joke.

High-leverage players need to be careful; this is when you’re most likely to get hit from both sides. Spot traders can wait and see; if the market really drops, it might be a good buying opportunity.