2025-12-27 06:30:51

#比特币与黄金战争 Observing Bitcoin's historical cycles reveals interesting patterns—

After the bottom of the 2015 bear market, it took 1431 days to reach the next bottom.
Counting from the 2018 bottom, it was another 1437 days before the next decline.
Since the 2022 bottom, 1132 days have passed.

Based on this rhythm, is the market cycle gradually shortening? Or will this time extend? Veteran crypto enthusiasts should be familiar with this data. Each cycle rewrites the story, but the logic behind price fluctuations always seems to have some traceable pattern.

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LiquidityWizard

· 2025-12-29 12:07

The shortening of cycles has been evident to me for a while now, from over 1400 days to over 1100 days, the trend is very clear. Wait, is there a problem with this data? Let's recalculate. Shorter bear market intervals = more frequent institutional entry? Or is the market simply more volatile? Stretch it out, stretch it out, this time it has to be stretched out, I bet on this round. Since 2015, old seasoned investors know this game well; it all depends on who can survive the new round.

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SingleForYears

· 2025-12-28 16:21

The cycle is indeed shrinking, but it feels like this round is a bit different. The speed of capital inflow and outflow has increased significantly.

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ForeverBuyingDips

· 2025-12-27 07:00

Shortening the cycle? Then we have to bet on whether this wave will break the pattern.

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DAOdreamer

· 2025-12-27 06:56

The cycle is getting shorter and shorter... Wait, 1132 days is less than four years, it feels like the market is accelerating.

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SocialFiQueen

· 2025-12-27 06:54

Is the cycle shortening? I think institutional investors are accelerating the pace, retail investors can't keep up anymore haha

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NotSatoshi

· 2025-12-27 06:52

I'm quite convinced that the cycle shortening is happening. The market has matured, and there are more retail investors, so the response speed has definitely increased.

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HashBard

· 2025-12-27 06:36

yo the cycle compression thesis hits different when you actually map it out like this... 1431 → 1437 → 1132, it's giving "time moves faster when you're in a bear" energy ngl

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CascadingDipBuyer

· 2025-12-27 06:31

Is the cycle shrinking? Then should we speed up?

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