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Bitcoin: retail traders bet big on BTC - will the whales prove them wrong?
Retail traders have increased their long positions in bitcoin, but the whales are pulling back, suggesting a possible correction.
The #optimism of retail traders and an increase in excessive leverage could lead to a sharp correction in #bitcoin as the whales reduce their positions. Bitcoin [BTC] is at a crossroads, with the overall market sentiment divided between retail traders and whales. Individual investors are increasingly taking long positions, fueling optimism for a price recovery. On the other hand, whales are currently being cautious, closing long positions and taking short positions. Historically, aggressive long position building by individual traders often precedes a wave of market corrections and potential liquidations. With the growing tension between the optimism of individual traders and the caution of the whales, the key question now is, will individual traders be able to push the market higher? Between March 3 and March 9, retail trader activity increased, reflected in a wide spectrum from blue to yellow, especially when the bitcoin price came under pressure. In contrast, whales seem to have taken a more cautious stance, as evidenced by the decreasing number of red bars. Historically, market corrections have often been followed by a significant increase in retailer dominance without confirmation from the whales. This divergence is reminiscent of past bull traps when retailer euphoria and whale reversals collided. The current divergence suggests that the whales may be preparing for a downturn, despite retail traders' optimism for continued growth. Bitcoin: Retail traders are going all out, but at what cost Retail traders' long positions A heatmap of the ratio of retail traders' long to short positions shows a sharp increase in long positions in various #altcoins since March 3. However, the bitcoin price movement shown in the top panel diverges from this optimistic view, indicating a growing divergence between sentiment and market direction.
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