Market dynamics and important events

• Tonight at 20:30 (8:30 AM EST), the United States will release the CPI data for February, with a previous value of 3.0% and an expected value of 2.9%.
• If CPI is below 2.9%, the market will view it as a positive signal, indicating a slowdown in inflation and strengthening expectations of Fed rate cuts.
• If CPI exceeds 2.9%, it may suppress market sentiment, which is not conducive to risk assets such as Bitcoin in the short term.
• The market's expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is increasing:
• At the beginning of the year, the market only expected the Fed to cut interest rates once, but now it has been raised to 4 times, indicating an increased market expectation for loose policies.
Expectations of interest rate cuts are rising, which is beneficial for the rebound of risk assets such as Bitcoin.
• Future Important Events:
• End of March: The United States will release first-quarter GDP data, reflecting the economic growth situation.
• March 21: The United States held a roundtable meeting on cryptocurrency regulation, which may affect market expectations for regulatory policies.
• April 2: The United States will introduce new tariff policies that may affect global market volatility.
Market strategy and operational advice
• Short-term market conditions still fluctuate significantly, attention needs to be paid to the CPI results and subsequent policy trends.
• It is suggested to be patient and wait, invest in batches, do not blindly chase high, and the opportunity to buy at the bottom may be coming soon.
• Maintain risk awareness, control positions reasonably, and closely monitor market changes!