It is currently brewing, and the next main rise is about to start! If all goes well, it will be in May-June; if not, it will be in the second half of the year. Start entering a position, the bull run is still on.

1. U.S. tariffs and Federal Reserve policy direction
Trump's tariff increases raise US fiscal revenue, which could lead to inflation. In the context of stable GDP growth, inflation is not a big deal. Trump's call for interest rate cuts is shifting blame to the Federal Reserve. Look, I have made the US stronger by increasing fiscal revenue, and now the US stock market has dropped, and the economy is experiencing a brief recession, so the Federal Reserve should cut rates. The Federal Reserve must maintain its independence and cannot cut rates immediately, but it has already taken action to reduce its balance sheet from 25 billion to 5 billion. Additionally, the bond auction method is also a disguised way of cutting rates. In the face of expectations of economic recession, they cannot take the blame. Ultimately, a rate cut is still necessary. Today's speech also mentioned that the 2% inflation expectation may loosen. Before March, there wasn't such a high probability of a rate cut, but news came in April (I believe there is a high probability of four cuts this year), which also serves as an early indication. In the end, when the US cuts rates and expands its balance sheet, liquidity will come.
2. US stocks
I mainly look at the Nasdaq in comparison to the S&P and Dow Jones in the US stock market. The last monthly level correction for the Nasdaq was a drop from 16000 to 11000, a 5000-point drop. This time, it dropped from 20000 to 16000, facing a technical drop to around 14000, which means there is still a 10% decline possible. Looking at the recent drop in the US stock market and the trend of Bitcoin, it can be seen that Bitcoin is even stronger, with a maximum possible drop of 10% to 74000. It may not reach 74000; 76500 is likely the bottom, and it is currently in the second buying range.
3. The trend of Bitcoin
Putting aside international finance, saying that Bitcoin is just playing tricks is like lacking a coordinated mindset by not focusing on the rise and fall of Bitcoin. The wave structure and indicators at the weekly level for Bitcoin all point to a rebound, with a maximum adjustment period of 3-4 weeks. Even if it drops to 740, just buy in; it might not reach 780-760 before it hits the bottom. April is the opportunity to build positions, buying on dips.
Still insisting that now is the entry opportunity before the takeoff. Enter a position for Bitcoin at 820-800, keep a position for 780-740, if it drops to that level then buy, if it doesn't drop then chase the position on the right side later.
The prediction did not take into account black swans and gray rhinos, and it's impossible to predict them. Only analyzing Bitcoin, the altcoins will follow later, so lower the expectations for price increases.
Waiting for the wind to rise!!!
Analysis is for sharing only and does not constitute investment advice. Finance carries risks, and you bear the losses. #荣誉积分抽奖，赢MacBook Air和精美周边 #关税政策后市场分析 #HODLer Airdrop - SUT 空投进行中