#数字货币市场洞察 I met an old buddy last year who lost his entire principal of 1 million in 2021. But using a few “foolproof methods,” he managed to turn it back into an 8-figure sum by 2024. His strategy is simple to the point of being crude, but it really works.

When it comes to bottom-fishing after continuous declines, he sticks to one hard rule: he only buys in batches when a quality coin has dropped for nine consecutive days from a high. That’s how he picked up SOL when it fell from 230 to 90, and DOGE after it was halved twice. Of course, the prerequisite is that the fundamentals haven’t collapsed—don’t just buy any coin.

As for selling near the top, he has an 8-hour rule. If the price surges violently for more than two days, he sells 80% of his position at the opening on the third day. He’s reviewed his own trades—there’s a 73% chance of a pullback in this scenario. He’d rather make less than be the last one holding the bag.

If the price spikes 7% in the morning, don’t rush to sell—this is a lesson he learned the hard way. Usually, waiting until after 2pm to consider exiting lets him catch the latter part of the rally. But this trick only works with a favorable market sentiment—don’t try it in a bear market.

If a coin trades sideways for more than three days, he sets a stop-loss right away. The big players will either pump or dump; if the price stalls, trouble is brewing. That’s how he avoided getting caught when SHIB traded flat for four days and then suddenly crashed.

Heavy volume with a stagnant price at the top is the most dangerous signal: if trading volume surges but the price doesn’t move, the whales are unloading. In 2023, so many people thought “let’s wait and see,” only to get trapped at the top and forced to sell at a 90% loss.

Now he only watches two lines: the 30-day moving average to pick coins, and the 3-day moving average to decide entry and exit points. All the breakout coins in 2024, upon review, followed these two lines. With a small amount of capital, he just takes the fattest part of the move; if he makes 20% in five days, he’s out—no need to chase the whole move.

He didn’t elaborate on his most ruthless trick, only saying, “90% of people can’t handle that mentally.” The market is a jungle; surviving longer matters more than running faster.