#ETH走势分析 Ethereum spot price is $3,046, almost right up against the $3,000 Put Wall.



What does this mean? Market makers are currently in a positive Gamma environment (+$4.6M), which means they’ll keep “buying low and selling high” to hedge their risk. This mechanism naturally keeps the price oscillating within a narrow range.

Looking at implied volatility, it’s spiked to around 70% across all periods, but the actual price movement isn’t nearly that volatile. IV is inflated, realized volatility is suppressed—this is basically free money for shorting volatility (Short Vega).

In the short term, $ETH is very likely to chop in the $3,000–$3,200 range. But don’t forget, the long-term Max Pain sits up at $5,000, which is a major gravitational pull.

What’s the play here? Sell put spreads backed by the $3,000 support to collect time value, or go straight for an Iron Condor and capture the premium from both sides of the range-bound action.
ETH2.64%
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ChainMaskedRidervip
· 12-07 06:20
The 3000 level is indeed a bit sticky, but I think this move might be going too far.
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LiquidityWitchvip
· 12-07 06:15
The 3000 wall is being firmly defended by market makers. Looks like we'll be stuck in a consolidation phase for a while. I need to try this Short Vega "giving away money" strategy, but the IV is indeed ridiculously inflated this round. 5000 is the real gravitational pull; it's still too early for that.
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LiquidatedThricevip
· 12-07 06:13
This round of gamma is quite eco-friendly for market makers; they're locking it tightly at 3000. Short vega is really tempting, 70% IV is just ridiculously inflated. That max pain at 5000 is really attractive, but for now, we still have to grind within the range.
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ClassicDumpstervip
· 12-07 06:07
The 3000 wall is really solid, it feels like the market makers are holding it down tightly. Those doing IV arbitrage must be having a blast right now, this opportunity to make easy money is just amazing. Is the 5000 level far away? Feels like we'll never get there.
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RebaseVictimvip
· 12-07 06:02
This move by the market makers is really brilliant—they're relying on Gamma to oscillate around 3000 and cut down the retail investors.
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