Why do so many people crash and burn when copy trading in prediction markets?

Simply put, everyone’s watching those “smart money” wallets, thinking they can just copy-paste their trades and win effortlessly. But in reality? You think you’re copying the homework, but you’re actually just becoming exit liquidity for someone else’s position.

Those so-called pros are already positioned well in advance, just waiting for retail investors to rush in. As soon as that happens, they offload their positions. By the time you enter, there’s plenty of liquidity, but the profit? It’s already been eaten up by those who got in early.

Copy trading isn’t impossible, but it depends on whether you understand how things work. If your timing is off, if your position sizing is wrong, if you have no concept of risk management—if you don’t get these details right, you won’t really benefit, no matter how skilled the wallet you’re following.

Don’t just look at others flaunting their profits. Think more about when you should enter, when to exit, and how to allocate your positions. Blindly copying others will always leave you at a loss.