#ETH走势分析 After being in the crypto market for so long, I’ve discovered a pattern: the people who actually make money don’t rely on sophisticated strategies, but on fundamental skills that seem simple but are executed with precision.

Let me share a framework I personally use. It doesn’t depend on insider information, and its core comes down to one word—discipline.

First, here are three pitfalls that are basically just giving money away:

Pitfall one: FOMO buying after a big pump.

This is a common mistake—chasing after coins that have already skyrocketed, only to end up being the bagholder at the top. The smart approach is the opposite: when the market is full of panic and everything’s in the red, that’s when you can scoop up bargains.

Pitfall two: Going all in on a single coin.

Always remember to keep 30% of your capital in cash. If the price drops, you can average down; if new opportunities come up, you have ammo to deploy. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket—it may sound cliché, but it works.

Pitfall three: Being fully invested with no room to maneuver.

Going all in is like tying your own hands. Even if a great opportunity arises, you can only watch helplessly. If you don’t manage your position sizes, you’ll not only fail to protect your principal but also miss out on potential profits.

Now, here are six short-term trading tips, all battle-tested:

1. Consolidation signals a coming move. Don’t rush to buy during sideways action at high levels, and don’t panic sell during bottom grinding at low levels. Until a clear direction emerges, keeping your hands off is more important than anything.

2. Sideways markets are prone to surprises. Volatility is low, but the risk of liquidation is high. Wait until the trend is clear before making a move. Don’t trade out of boredom.

3. Contrarian thinking is more effective. Buy when it’s falling, sell when it’s rising. Sounds simple, but most people do the opposite.

4. Sharp drops are actually opportunities. After a gradual decline, rebounds are usually mild, but after a waterfall crash, there’s often an oversold bounce—these are the best times to build a position.

5. Use the pyramid buy-in method. In a bottoming range, add to your position every time the price drops 10%. This lowers your average cost and leaves more room for profit later.

6. Be alert to breakout signals. After a sharp rise and then sideways movement, take out your principal and leave in the profits. After a sharp drop and sideways movement, cut your losses if needed—don’t fantasize about breaking even.

Ultimately, the logic is simple: don’t try to predict price swings, don’t chase hype, don’t rely on luck—just stick to your rules relentlessly.

There’s nothing high-tech about this approach; the hard part is self-discipline. With small capital, if you stick to this framework over time, you can build up substantial returns. The key is protecting your principal and locking in profits—your account will naturally grow steadily.

In crypto, it’s never about who’s the smartest; it’s about who can stick to the rules and endure to the end. If you have a steady mindset, enough patience, and strict discipline, you’re already ahead of most people.