#数字货币市场洞察 Sharing a trading system I've used for eight years, with a pretty solid win rate. I started in this market while in debt, and gradually turned things around with this approach. Looking back, the methodology is actually more important than luck.

The entire framework consists of just four steps:

**Coin Selection Logic**: Look at the MACD on the daily chart, focusing only on golden cross patterns. The key is the location of the golden cross—the signal above the zero line is much stronger than below it. This is the first filter.

**Position Holding Standard**: Just watch one daily moving average. If the price is above the moving average, hold; if it falls below, exit. Don’t complicate things—a simple rule is easier to follow.

**Entry Timing**: When the price rises above the daily moving average and trading volume increases simultaneously, that’s the confirmation signal. My habit is to go all-in at this point, since the previous filtering keeps the risk manageable.

**Partial Exit Strategy**:
- Reduce one-third of the position when the price rises 40%
- Sell another third when it rises 80%
- Clear out the remaining position if the price falls below the daily moving average

One easily overlooked detail: If the price falls below the moving average the day after buying, you must exit unconditionally. While the assets filtered by this system rarely break down, the market always has surprises. Stop-loss isn’t admitting defeat; it’s protecting your capital. If the price rises back above the moving average, you can re-enter.

The core of this approach is discipline, not prediction. You don’t need to guess the top or bottom—just follow price action. Most people lose money not because of a bad method, but because they fail to execute properly—they hope instead of cutting losses, or hesitate instead of adding to their position.

Of course, every strategy has its limitations. This system gets whipsawed in choppy markets; it works best in trending markets. The key is knowing which tool you’re using and what environment it’s suited for.