Prediction markets heating up: Kalshi traders are putting serious money behind OpenAI's coding dominance. Latest data shows a 63% probability that OpenAI will claim the #1 spot for coding models by January 1st, 2026.



That's a pretty strong vote of confidence from people literally betting on it. The prediction market has spoken—at least for now. Whether it's o1, o3, or whatever's cooking in their labs, traders clearly expect OpenAI to stay ahead of the pack.

Worth watching how these odds shift as we get closer to 2026. Prediction markets like Kalshi have been surprisingly accurate at capturing crowd wisdom, especially when real capital is on the line.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
ETHmaxi_NoFiltervip
· 12-08 13:13
63%... OpenAI is definitely solid this time, but I still feel like we need to see if Anthropic has a big move up its sleeve.
View OriginalReply0
FlashLoanPrincevip
· 12-08 02:00
63% really isn't as stable as I thought. I expected it to be higher.
View OriginalReply0
CantAffordPancakevip
· 12-08 01:59
63%? Seems a bit optimistic. Anthropic and DeepSeek have been making some big moves lately.
View OriginalReply0
just_another_fishvip
· 12-08 01:46
63%? Feels not stable enough, that's not a very high probability.
View OriginalReply0
tokenomics_truthervip
· 12-08 01:40
63%? That number looks impressive, but what about the actual number of bettors...
View OriginalReply0
RatioHuntervip
· 12-08 01:36
63%? That number seems a bit questionable to me. I'll have to wait and see how Anthropic responds.
View OriginalReply0
ForkTroopervip
· 12-08 01:33
63%? Forget it, everyone is speculating on OpenAI's expectations. By 2026, things will have already changed.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)