Prediction markets heating up: Kalshi traders are putting serious money behind OpenAI's coding dominance. Latest data shows a 63% probability that OpenAI will claim the #1 spot for coding models by January 1st, 2026.
That's a pretty strong vote of confidence from people literally betting on it. The prediction market has spoken—at least for now. Whether it's o1, o3, or whatever's cooking in their labs, traders clearly expect OpenAI to stay ahead of the pack.
Worth watching how these odds shift as we get closer to 2026. Prediction markets like Kalshi have been surprisingly accurate at capturing crowd wisdom, especially when real capital is on the line.
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ETHmaxi_NoFilter
· 12-08 13:13
63%... OpenAI is definitely solid this time, but I still feel like we need to see if Anthropic has a big move up its sleeve.
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FlashLoanPrince
· 12-08 02:00
63% really isn't as stable as I thought. I expected it to be higher.
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CantAffordPancake
· 12-08 01:59
63%? Seems a bit optimistic. Anthropic and DeepSeek have been making some big moves lately.
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just_another_fish
· 12-08 01:46
63%? Feels not stable enough, that's not a very high probability.
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tokenomics_truther
· 12-08 01:40
63%? That number looks impressive, but what about the actual number of bettors...
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RatioHunter
· 12-08 01:36
63%? That number seems a bit questionable to me. I'll have to wait and see how Anthropic responds.
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ForkTrooper
· 12-08 01:33
63%? Forget it, everyone is speculating on OpenAI's expectations. By 2026, things will have already changed.
Prediction markets heating up: Kalshi traders are putting serious money behind OpenAI's coding dominance. Latest data shows a 63% probability that OpenAI will claim the #1 spot for coding models by January 1st, 2026.
That's a pretty strong vote of confidence from people literally betting on it. The prediction market has spoken—at least for now. Whether it's o1, o3, or whatever's cooking in their labs, traders clearly expect OpenAI to stay ahead of the pack.
Worth watching how these odds shift as we get closer to 2026. Prediction markets like Kalshi have been surprisingly accurate at capturing crowd wisdom, especially when real capital is on the line.