12:10

Reviewing the current market after the weekend, the view I had on Saturday followed the third scenario, which was also the one I personally leaned towards—spot on, right? The main thing is, I anticipated the outcome but didn't expect it to play out with such a spike and surge, but I still managed to catch some of it myself.
Back to the current market: after stabilizing at 3110, as long as it doesn't break down effectively, there's a high probability that in the following period it'll break above the previous high and reach 3360 or higher. But that's a bit far off; let's focus on the present. Right now, the odds of reaching around 3190 and 3250 have increased.
As shown in the chart below: As of now, minor support is around 3060, strong support at 3105-10, first resistance at 3190, second resistance around 3250. Personally, I think this morning's drop was a pullback, and after the pullback, the price continued to rise to the current level.
So the trading strategy is pretty clear: go long on dips. The farthest target for now is around 3250. Don’t get hung up on specific points or aim for perfection; focus on the direction and don’t expect to catch every single move from start to finish.
My personal trading strategies are as follows:
1. Watch for another pullback around 3060; if it stabilizes, go long with a stop-loss at the current low and take profit at 3150-90. Whether to hold further depends on the price action.
2. If it breaks below 3050-60 and pulls back to 3105-10, go long with a stop-loss at 2985. 2980-90 is the strongest support; if that breaks, there’s definitely more downside. Take the loss if it happens—don’t count on luck.
3. If it breaks above 3150, consider a breakout trade, stop-loss at the previous two 15-minute lows, take profit at 3190-3250, and see if you want to hold for 3360 depending on the price action. For BTC, the first support is 89,700, strongest support at 88,900. Similarly, the strategy is to go long on dips, with targets temporarily at 94,000-96,400-800 or so. Focus on direction, don’t get stuck on exact levels.
There’s major data coming out this Thursday, plus recent news about Japan’s rate hike and other factors, so I won’t stubbornly stick to a single view. Pay more attention. And as always, I don’t do ultra-short-term trades, so the above analysis and strategies don’t cover that. Pick one strategy and accept its stop-loss, try to keep a calm mindset.
Personal views for reference only.
For those following my trades and making money, I’m not asking for any tips—everything’s free and I trade myself too. At least give a like and follow to support, thanks!