#数字货币市场洞察 The market is giving us answers, but not right now.

$ETH is currently hovering around 3121, and this level is quite interesting. Looking upward, the 30-day moving average at 3660 forms a solid ceiling, and the gap of over 500 points exposes a fact—the mid-term correction is far from over. Looking downward, the 7-day short-term moving average is at 3083, and the price has just stabilized above it. This setup is familiar: a short-term bottom, locked in the long term—a classic case of range-bound stagnation.

It's even more obvious when you look at the K-line chart on the right. The amplitude has narrowed to 0.96%, and the gain is only 0.37%; volatility is as calm as an EKG line settling down. This isn't the eve of a breakout; it's a signal that energy is still accumulating. Don’t rush.

The truly worthwhile moments to act have never been in such lukewarm conditions. Think back to those profitable points: after a deep pullback and a period of sideways grinding at the bottom, suddenly there’s a surge with volume above 5%, and the upper boundary of the range is broken—that’s the real signal. Now? We haven’t even clearly drawn the upper boundary of the sideways range, let alone talk about a breakout.

With the 30-day moving average hanging high above, it shows that the previous correction was strong. Now, with small-scale consolidation and declining volume, it’s the beginning of energy accumulation, not the end. The market needs time to digest positions and wait for a clear directional choice.

So the strategy is simple: wait. Wait for the market to show its hand, wait for that clear breakout with volume. Missing ten opportunities is better than jumping in and getting hurt in the gray area. At this level, the wisest move is to do nothing. Save your positions for certainty—don’t waste them on mere possibilities.