Is a Fed rate cut this month a foregone conclusion? But this time it could be a "hawkish trap"

[Bitpush] According to the latest research report from a Wall Street analyst team, the market has already priced in a rate cut this month, but this time it might be a “hawkish cut”—meaning whether further easing will follow depends on how bad the economic data looks in Q1 and Q2 next year, or if inflation can drop another notch.

What’s more interesting is that the Fed chair is about to be replaced, and the market is still watching to see how the new leadership will operate. The upcoming FOMC dot plot is expected to be lively, as there have been clear internal disagreements within the committee regarding policy direction lately. It’s anticipated that there will be differing views on what to do in 2026, since economic risks now go both ways—it could strengthen or weaken, and no one can say for sure.

The impact of this move on risk assets still needs to be closely monitored.