2025-12-08 16:25:14

To be honest, I really can't make sense of the recent market trends. At the beginning of October, I went to Singapore to attend the 2049 conference, and then on the 10th and 11th, there was a major correction—can you believe it? What's even crazier is that the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points in October, but instead of going up, the market dropped; now they're going to cut another 25bp on December 10th, and I bet it'll still go down.

Some people say the four-year cycle theory is outdated? I don’t think so. That $126,000 top might just be the ceiling for this bull run. Don’t be surprised—the bear market may have already arrived quietly, it’s just that everyone is still lost in the bull market illusion...

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ZkSnarker

· 1h ago

ngl the fed cut narrative absolutely has zero explanatory power here. imagine thinking rate cuts = automatic pump, that's like believing in santa but make it macro

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PseudoIntellectual

· 10h ago

Cutting interest rates actually leads to a drop, this logic is really clever, the market simply doesn't follow the usual patterns I also watched the peak at 12.6 for a long time, always feeling that something was off People who said the four-year cycle was outdated might just not have been proven wrong yet Those still calling for a bull market probably haven't truly understood the situation When the bear market comes knocking, most people can't hear it This time, after returning from Singapore, I just ate noodles, and I couldn't stop laughing Cutting interest rates again and again, the more they cut, the more it falls, this chess game is quite interesting

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ETH_Maxi_Taxi

· 18h ago

Rate cuts lead to declines, this logic is truly amazing, the market simply didn't follow the script That peak of 126,000 I also think is questionable, it feels a bit too smooth I agree with the saying that a bear market is quietly approaching, everyone is still immersed in the bull market dream Is that conference in Singapore providing unequal information? Why did it start crashing right after returning? Four-year cycles might really be outdated, but this wave of market action is indeed very bizarre --- Honestly, the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and the market still falling, what signals does this send us? Has the bull market ceiling already been set? I really can't make sense of it now --- Wait, rate cuts lead to a decline? Then there must be fundamental problems --- This wave of market action is very surreal; rate cuts can't save it, it feels like a major event is coming --- I also think 126,000 is high enough; the rebound started weakening before it fully accepted --- There are still too many people dreaming; they didn't react when the bear market arrived --- Returning from Singapore to immediately crash; this pace is truly amazing

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GasFeeCrier

· 12-10 07:03

The logic of interest rate cuts is really amazing, and the market is the master who comes backwards I said that there are still people sleepwalking at 126,000 The four-year cycle is dead early, and now it all depends on the Fed's face The conference site was so high that I was smashed in the face when I came back No one believes that the bear market is coming, which is outrageous

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MoodFollowsPrice

· 12-08 16:51

Rate cuts actually lead to a drop, this logic is really something else. Is the market playing reverse psychology with us? 120,000 might really be the top. Watching the market now is honestly exhausting. Came back from Singapore and the market completely turned around. How surreal was that meeting? The four-year cycle isn’t outdated, it’s just that there are too many variables this time. Tough. Everyone’s still celebrating, but the bear market may have already settled in, just waiting for us to realize. This drop made me rethink what “consensus” even means—maybe it’s all just an illusion. The Fed cutting rates should be bullish, right? But look at the results—the market still tanked. Truly speechless. Feels like I’ve never really understood this market. Every time, I’m just fooling myself.

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AirdropDreamBreaker

· 12-08 16:40

A rate cut and the market still drops—this logic is really unbelievable. It’s like the market is deliberately going against us. I’m also thinking about that 126,000 top—could it really be the ceiling? They crash it right after coming back from the Singapore meeting, haha, the timing is just too perfect. The four-year cycle isn’t dead, maybe it just mutated this time—who knows. Whether the bear market is here or not, my wallet’s already frozen solid. A rate cut and we still have to take another hit? Fine, I’ll believe you this time. Feels like the market is putting on an absurd play, and we’re all just spectators.

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AirdropHunter

· 12-08 16:37

The market is so weird; a rate cut actually leads to a drop. Are they just doing the opposite now? Is 126,000 really the top? Why do I feel like everyone is still dreaming? A rate cut crashes the market—who could have predicted that? All the logic is messed up. The bear market is here and people haven’t realized it yet; they’re still talking about some bull market illusion. Came back from Singapore and got slapped in the face—could this be a signal? The four-year cycle has already been broken, right? It’s naive to still follow that pattern now.

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BearMarketBro

· 12-08 16:31

126,000 could really be the top. I'm honestly getting a bit scared now. Rate cuts but the price still drops—this logic is wild. Does anyone still believe in the four-year cycle? Wake up, everyone. The moment the illusion shatters is when it hurts the most. After coming back from Singapore, it just crashed immediately. I can't believe it. Rate cuts mean another drop? Then what's the point of cutting rates, it's hilarious. It's always like this before a bear market arrives—numbness.

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OnchainDetectiveBing

· 12-08 16:26

Rate cuts actually lead to a drop, I’m familiar with this trick—it’s just ridiculous. Honestly, I also think that 126,000 top is shaky, the four-year cycle may not be outdated. Came back from Singapore and the market started to correct, the timing couldn’t be worse.

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