Rate cut in December? Probability has surged to 89.4%, and it's basically a done deal on the 11th.

But honestly, the market sensed this a long time ago. Right now, probably more than half of the current price is based on this expectation. When the announcement actually comes, you need to watch out for the classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect—the news gets priced in, and the trend might reverse.

So what should you really be watching?

The Fed’s wording. Will they cut rates once and stop, or will their language hint at more moves to come? That’s way more important than whether they cut this time or not.

Powell’s words. If the big guy so much as leaves room for interpretation, the market could instantly go through a shakeout.

So, don’t rush in before the news drops. It’s fine to ride the hype during the expectation phase, but when the dust settles, your brain needs to be faster than your hands.

BTC, ETH, SOL, and other assets could all experience extreme volatility in the short term due to this wave of macro expectations—risk management is key.