One day left until the Federal Reserve announces its rate cut decision.

A rate cut? It's almost a sure thing.

But what about BTC? Stuck at $91,000, not moving at all.
The whole market feels like it's on pause, with everyone watching that moment tomorrow.

But something suddenly occurred to me:
If the rate cut is already "an open secret,"
When the announcement actually comes, which way will the price move?

I looked through historical data and found a rather sobering pattern—
When the market's expectation of a positive event exceeds 90%,
After the news is actually released, the probability of a price drop can reach 67%.

This is probably what is meant by "all the good news is already priced in."