The Bank of Japan is serious this time! At the December policy meeting, they decided to raise interest rates, jumping from 0.5% directly to 0.75%, and the government didn’t intervene—they just let it happen. Many people see the words "rate hike" and think something big is about to go down, but if you think about it calmly, this move might actually be an opportunity window for crypto players.



Previously, the cost of borrowing yen was close to zero, so global arbitrage funds used yen as leverage to trade crypto. Now, with borrowing costs suddenly rising, those highly leveraged hot money players will definitely consider pulling out. In the short term, we'll likely see a wave of concentrated selling in the market, especially for illiquid altcoins, which could take a big hit.

But looking at it from another angle, panic selling often unjustly drags down some decent assets. Historically, every time there’s this kind of systemic adjustment, mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum also drop, but those drops often present real low-entry opportunities. Big money might rebalance for risk in the short term, but in the long run, they still have to flow back into core assets to hedge against inflation risks.

If you’re holding positions, you might want to consider the following:

First, clear out those fundamentally weak, hype-only projects now and keep some cash on hand. When Bitcoin or Ethereum pull back about 5%-10%, it’s safer to start building positions in batches.

Second, keep an eye on projects that are being dragged down by market sentiment but are actually solid. Try small positions to scoop up some undervalued tokens.

When the market is volatile, staying level-headed is more important than anything. When others are panicking, that’s often when opportunities arise.
BTC-4.1%
ETH-6.45%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
WagmiWarriorvip
· 12-12 12:56
Yen arbitrage explosion, this wave is indeed a good time for a shakeout --- Same old story, panic is when you should buy the dip, it's easy to say but really hard to do --- I just want to ask, are those misjudged projects really worth buying, or is it just another excuse to cut the leeks --- Clearing out altcoins is a good point, but people without cash in hand feel anxious watching --- Can Bitcoin really drop 5% and wait for it? Feels like it rebounds in the blink of an eye --- I've experienced this kind of systematic adjustment several times, every time they say it's an opportunity, every time someone gets caught --- In the long run, you still have to rely on things like Bitcoin and Ethereum; everything else is just fleeting clouds, don't waste time on nonsense --- Waiting for the moment when high leverage explodes, it will be very exciting --- Having cash in hand means peace of mind, watching others cut losses while you hold cash steadily feels very comfortable --- Staying alert is the most heartfelt; most people can't stay rational when they panic
View OriginalReply0
LiquidityWitchvip
· 12-10 08:58
The wave of yen interest rate hikes will indeed squeeze out some moisture, but I am more optimistic about those high-quality projects that have been smashed, and the time has come to buy the bottom at a low level
View OriginalReply0
CrossChainMessengervip
· 12-09 16:32
I understand Japan's move here, they're just trying to squeeze out those who are taking advantage of yen borrowing. Wait, will this really crash the market? Or is it just another case of crying wolf? Why does it feel like every time the central bank makes a move, everyone in crypto just sits back and watches? I'm too scared to buy the dip, but I can't bring myself to sell at a loss either. This feeling is unreal. Maybe this really is the bottom, but I don't have any cash left, already went all in a while ago. The author makes it sound good, but in reality, it's just a bet that Bitcoin won't crash again, right? Let's see how much it drops by Sunday, and decide on a strategy then.
View OriginalReply0
BlockchainTalkervip
· 12-09 16:19
actually, if we examine the yen carry unwind through game theory lens... this deleveraging cascade is gonna hit different. the real question isn't whether altcoins dump—they obviously will—but whether btc/eth catch the knife or actually find real support this time around.
Reply0
Blockblindvip
· 12-09 16:06
With the yen rate hike, arbitrage funds do have to exit, but honestly, I still have confidence in those quality projects that were wrongly hit. Why panic? Those who bought at the lows have already made profits. Altcoins may die, but bottom opportunities for BTC and ETH have always come like this. Keep some cash on hand, don’t go all-in—this is common sense.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)