Do you know how crazy Bitcoin has been over the past ten years?
At the beginning of 2015, it was still hovering around $200. Now? $92,500. At its craziest, it surged 460 times. Even if you calculate conservatively, starting from the end of 2015, that’s 215 times, with an annualized return rate shooting above 70%. The annualized return over the past decade? 88%.
But the next ten years can’t possibly be this wild again.
If Bitcoin continued at an 88% annualized growth rate, by 2035, it would have to reach tens of millions or even over a hundred million dollars per coin—which would require all the world’s assets combined, and it still wouldn’t be enough. Clearly, that’s unrealistic.
So what’s a reasonable estimate? Two scenarios:
**Conservative view** (25% annualized): Around $920,000 by 2035. **Optimistic view** (35% annualized): About $1.5 million.
The most reliable range? **$800,000 to $1.5 million**, corresponding to an annualized return of 20%-35%.
In short—as long as you still believe the US dollar will keep being printed, bailing out halfway could mean missing out big time. The story of Bitcoin is far from over.
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SmartContractDiver
· 16h ago
460 times... How did I miss this opportunity? Why hadn't I heard about it back in 2015?
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GrayscaleArbitrageur
· 17h ago
That 460x figure is making my head spin. Is it still not too late to get in now? I feel like I’m always doing it wrong.
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LuckyBearDrawer
· 17h ago
460x is truly incredible, but I didn't expect 1.5 million. It still feels a bit too optimistic.
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fren_with_benefits
· 17h ago
88% annualized? You’d have to stick with it until 2035, and all kinds of black swan events along the way could scare you out.
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$1.5 million sounds great, but who can guarantee not wavering for ten years? One policy shift and it’s all over.
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Buying at $200 in 2015 has made a killing now, but what about buying in at $92,500 now—where will you be in ten years? Are you mentally prepared?
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Instead of doing the math, ask yourself how many 80% drawdowns you can withstand—that’s the real skill.
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The dollar will keep being printed, that’s true, but BTC isn’t the only option out there—the competition is fierce.
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The $800,000 to $1.5 million range is ridiculously broad. What’s the reference value of these numbers?
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The key point is still this: whether you believe in the dollar printing press determines how much you should hold.
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People who got in back in 2015 are already financially free. Discussing the next ten years’ returns now seems a bit late.
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460x and 215x returns are right there—just looking at history is astonishing enough. If the growth rate in the future reaches even half of what it is now, that’d be a miracle.
Do you know how crazy Bitcoin has been over the past ten years?
At the beginning of 2015, it was still hovering around $200. Now? $92,500. At its craziest, it surged 460 times. Even if you calculate conservatively, starting from the end of 2015, that’s 215 times, with an annualized return rate shooting above 70%. The annualized return over the past decade? 88%.
But the next ten years can’t possibly be this wild again.
If Bitcoin continued at an 88% annualized growth rate, by 2035, it would have to reach tens of millions or even over a hundred million dollars per coin—which would require all the world’s assets combined, and it still wouldn’t be enough. Clearly, that’s unrealistic.
So what’s a reasonable estimate? Two scenarios:
**Conservative view** (25% annualized): Around $920,000 by 2035.
**Optimistic view** (35% annualized): About $1.5 million.
The most reliable range? **$800,000 to $1.5 million**, corresponding to an annualized return of 20%-35%.
In short—as long as you still believe the US dollar will keep being printed, bailing out halfway could mean missing out big time. The story of Bitcoin is far from over.