If you had invested $10,000 in ETH in 2015 and held until now, it would be worth over $200 million?

This number sounds easy, as if simply “holding on” could achieve it.
But if you really pull out that profit curve, behind it is not a life that humans can endure:

10,000 → 1,000,000 → 14,000,000 → 390,000 → 30,000,000 → 1,200,000
→ 930,000,000 → 5,300,000 → 32,300,000,000 → 54,000,000 → 20,000,000,000

This is not a smooth upward line, but a eight-year-long purgatory.
Every rollercoaster-like rise and fall questions the same human nature:
“Should I sell now?”

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Your idea of “holding on” is just lying flat; true “holding” is believing in your judgment at these key points:

· When it rises 100 times, you don’t think it’s time to take profits;
· When it crashes 97%, you still believe it’s not zero;
· When it retraces from 3.2 billion to 54 million, you remain unmoved.

Behind this is no longer luck or patience, but cognition and discipline.

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Most people enter the market imagining they will be the protagonist of the “holding myth.”
But when they really get on that out-of-control rollercoaster, 90% will panic and sell at a 50% loss,
95% will get off early when it hits 100 times,
99% will despair at a 97% crash and cut their losses.

Those who can truly survive multiple bull and bear cycles are not relying on luck, but on two things:

1. Deep enough cognition to see opportunity rather than fear during crashes;
2. Strict discipline to follow the original plan during surges, rather than emotional trading.

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So don’t ask anymore “Can I hold for 10 years” as a hypothetical question.
The market rewards those who:
stay sober when others are greedy, and stay calm when others are fearful.

If you haven’t experienced a 90% drawdown yet and still sleep soundly,
If you haven’t dared to hold on when it rises 100 times,
then you are still far from mastering the word “hold.”

The real winners in crypto are never those who enter by luck,
but those who embed discipline into their blood and use cognition to fight human nature.

Discipline saves lives; cognition makes money.
Anything beyond that is gambling.

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(If this article inspires you, please share it with friends who always think about “holding overnight.”)