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$200,000, finally turned back into $1,000.
This is not a joke; it’s a real story that happened with this Opinion airdrop.
Many people spent the past few months frantically earning points, trading, placing orders, providing liquidity, and increasing trading volume just to wait for the TGE to cash out.
The secondary market once drove the points up to $45 each, with everyone assuming: this wave can break even or even make a profit.
But as soon as the tokenomics were released,
the actual airdrop released in the first quarter was only 3%.
The points’ price plummeted from $45 to $6, a drop of over 80%.
A blogger posted a screenshot:
Burned $200,000 to earn points, ending up with 2,000 OPN tokens, which at current prices is about $1,000.
Honestly, losing money from farming is nothing new.
But what caused everyone to blow up this time wasn’t the loss—it was being counter-farmed.
I also farmed 23 OPN.
That’s only a few dozen dollars.
Spending $1,000 to farm, the estimated loss is about $20.
That’s a huge loss.
The project uses a points mechanism to encourage everyone to pile up trading volume,
reaching $8 billion in a month.
Average single trade per person is $2,500, far higher than industry peers.
It’s hard to say it’s all natural demand.
Now that the TGE has landed, the points game is over.
The question is:
Out of that $8 billion trading volume, how much is from real users?
When the points fuel stops, will the money still stay?
From a farming perspective, to be honest:
In the future, when you see models where higher trading volume means more points,
assume the cost first, don’t just look at the expected valuation.
The moment secondary points hit $45,
the risk has already outweighed the reward.
Airdrops are never benefits—they’re a gamble.
You think you’re farming the project,
but the project is also using you for data.
This is a lesson for 2026 to start the year.
You can farm the hype, but don’t see yourself as a long-term partner.
#OPN # Airdrop #撸毛 # Counter-farming #PredictionMarket