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Trump will deliver remarks on the US-Iran situation tonight at 8 PM, which will directly trigger short-term volatility in cryptocurrencies.
Geopolitical direction is the core variable: if a tough stance is released and the situation tightens, market panic will heat up, causing Big Pie and Two Pie to see rapid pullbacks as risk appetite declines, compounded by contract leverage liquidations, with a high likelihood of taking pressure and moving downward.
If the statement leans toward easing and away from escalation, risk-averse sentiment will fade, and funds flowing back will drive a rebound and help prices recover.
Big Pie is influenced by both safe-haven and risk-asset attributes, so its volatility will be more direct; Two Pie, meanwhile, follows the pace of the broader market, while also being more heavily affected by on-chain fund sentiment.
Overall, the speech won’t change the medium-term trend, but it will create a violent short-term trading setup. When trading, you need to strictly control risk—trade cautiously, and wait to enter only after the direction is clear.#BTC