73,800, possibly this month's peak.


It's not metaphysics; it's the pattern that has emerged.

At the end of March, I was still watching Dodo, in April I switched to Kong.
Not because I am fickle, but because the rules told me: it's time to switch.
The current market situation is called the "Trump Market."
After his family entered the crypto space, liquidity was drained, and the profit-making effect plummeted.
Retail investors are gambling on control, they are acting as water sellers—issuing tokens, mining, stablecoins—each move is taken out of the market.

On the chart, the key levels are already in place:
70,500: the observation level I mentioned last week, has been reached.
But there are no strong K-lines here, no volume-driven stabilization, only sideways movement.
Effective support has never moved like this.

70,500-69,300: the last line of defense for the bulls.
If broken, 60,000 is no longer a dream;
If not broken, there’s still a chance to see 76,000.
The time window is also given: 5/1-5/5.
If this wave of decline starts smoothly, this range might be the bottom.
Before that, every rebound is the bears gathering strength.

The current bears are like the rising sun.
The bulls are like the last rays of the setting sun.
Are you standing in the light, or in the shadow? #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡
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