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I just saw that Bitcoin dropped below $63,000 during the Asian session, and honestly, the atmosphere is pretty heavy. Everything points to Trump's tariffs and the uncertainty with AI that has everyone nervous. BTC has fallen nearly 7% this week, something we haven't seen in a while.
Analysts are watching the $60,000 support level as a critical line. If that doesn't hold, we could see declines toward the $50,000 range or lower. What's interesting is what historical data shows: Bitcoin typically doesn't bottom out until the 50-week moving average crosses below the 100-week moving average. That happened in 2022 and 2018, marking the end of bear markets. Right now, we're far from that signal, so according to the pattern, there could be more pain before a real bottom forms.
It's like what happened with James Howells and others during extreme volatility: patience is key when markets enter capitulation. Long-term moving average crossovers have been good indicators of bottoms, but of course, past history doesn't guarantee anything. For now, sentiment remains bearish as investors exit risk positions.