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Just had an interesting thought about a major AI play that's been flying under the radar compared to the usual hype stocks.
Amazon sits at $2.3 trillion market cap right now, but here's what caught my attention - over the last five years, it's only gained 44% while the S&P 500 jumped roughly 80%. Most of the Magnificent Seven stocks have been crushing it, especially Nvidia which went absolutely mental at 1,330% gains. But Amazon? It's been the laggard of the group.
That seems odd given how much AI is reshaping tech right now. The thing is, Amazon's cloud infrastructure division AWS already benefits from AI demand - it pulled in $45.6 billion of the company's $80 billion operating income last year despite being just 18% of total revenue. The margins there are completely different from their e-commerce side.
But here's where it gets interesting. Amazon still makes most of its money from online retail, which is brutal on margins. What if AI and robotics actually fix that? Think about warehouse automation, autonomous delivery networks, optimized logistics - these aren't sci-fi anymore, they're investments Amazon is actively making right now.
The company already generates $716.9 billion in annual revenue - it's literally the world's largest by that metric. Even modest margin improvements across that massive revenue base could be absolutely massive for earnings. Some analysts are suggesting if these AI-driven efficiencies start showing up in the next few years, we could see Amazon reach $4 trillion valuation, which would be a roughly 74% move from here.
Obviously there's no guarantee any stock does what projections suggest, but the setup here feels different than the typical AI hype. You're looking at a company that's already profitable, already dominant, and potentially on the cusp of unlocking way better efficiency across its core business through AI and automation. Worth keeping on your radar if you're thinking about AI shares with actual fundamental tailwinds rather than just narrative momentum.