tonight's key event

Time: Beijing time April 30th, 2:30 AM

Event: Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision & Powell press conference

Background: This is Powell's last FOMC press conference during his term, and its significance in setting the tone is major.

Main points of interest

• Interest rate remains unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% (market consensus)

• Powell's attitude towards future rate cuts, inflation, and liquidity—whether hawkish (negative) or dovish (positive).

Current state of the crypto market

• BTC range: 76,000-78,000 oscillation

• Market sentiment: high-level oscillation, high leverage, sensitive sentiment, relies on rate cut expectations for support.

Core strategy

1. Prevent flash crashes first: reduce leverage/close positions before speech. If Powell's stance is hawkish, beware of sudden drops.

2. Catch the turning point: if the market drops sharply due to hawkish signals, focus on the support zone of 72,000-74,000, and observe whether a rebound opportunity emerges after the bearish sentiment exhausts.