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Tom Lee’s Macro Forecast: S&P 500 Year-End Target and the "Buy the War" Theory’s Impact on Crypto Markets

Tom Lee’s Macro Forecast: S&P 500 Year-End Target and the "Buy the War" Theory’s Impact on Crypto Markets

This article draws on Tom Lee’s optimistic year-end forecast for the S&P 500 at 7,700 points to provide an in-depth analysis of the historical logic behind the "buy during wartime" theory. It also explores how the strengthening correlation between U.S. equities and Bitcoin is shaping the trajectory of the crypto market under current macro strategies.

Blog Team2026-03-23

JPMorgan Unpacks Geopolitical Tensions: Why Institutions Are Selling Gold ETFs and Turning to BTC

JPMorgan Unpacks Geopolitical Tensions: Why Institutions Are Selling Gold ETFs and Turning to BTC

According to data from JPMorgan, capital flows into Bitcoin and gold ETFs have diverged significantly following the outbreak of war in Iran. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the driving forces behind institutional moves to "sell gold and buy BTC," as well as the resulting market impacts and potential risks.

Blog Team2026-03-19

Bitcoin Amid Geopolitical Risks: Safe-Haven Dynamics as Oil Prices Surpass $100 and War Looms

Bitcoin Amid Geopolitical Risks: Safe-Haven Dynamics as Oil Prices Surpass $100 and War Looms

In 2026, the Iran conflict pushed oil prices above $100, while Bitcoin surged 11.8% amid the turmoil—outperforming both gold and U.S. equities. Drawing on Gate data, this article analyzes Bitcoin’s geopolitical hedging logic and associated risks under the shadow of war.

Blog Team2026-03-19

War and Bitcoin: How Have Crypto Markets Recovered After Major Geopolitical Conflicts Throughout History?

War and Bitcoin: How Have Crypto Markets Recovered After Major Geopolitical Conflicts Throughout History?

A Look Back at Bitcoin’s Performance Since the 2026 US-Iran Conflict: From $60,000 to $74,000—Comparing the Russia-Ukraine Playbook and Analyzing How Geopolitical Shocks Drive Crypto Market Recovery and Structural Change

Blog Team2026-03-17

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XRP at the Crossroads of Regulation and Geopolitics: An In-Depth Analysis of the End of War Signals and the CLARITY Act

XRP at the Crossroads of Regulation and Geopolitics: An In-Depth Analysis of the End of War Signals and the CLARITY Act

Trump’s declaration signaling the end of war, combined with expectations surrounding the May CLARITY Act, is reshaping the regulatory and macro environment for XRP. This article takes an in-depth look at the dual catalysts, examining their mechanisms, underlying costs, and potential risks.

Blog Team2026-03-16

Geopolitical Shifts Reshape Crypto Asset Valuation: Analyzing the Iran Conflict, Oil Prices, and Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Narrative

Geopolitical Shifts Reshape Crypto Asset Valuation: Analyzing the Iran Conflict, Oil Prices, and Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Narrative

When searches for "World War III" surge, Bitcoin outperforms both gold and the Nasdaq. This article provides an in-depth analysis of how geopolitical events—such as the Iran conflict and oil price shocks—are reshaping the pricing power of crypto assets.

Blog Team2026-03-13

Polymarket War Contracts Surpass $600 Million in Trading Volume: How Prediction Markets Capture Real-Time Geopolitical Risk

Polymarket War Contracts Surpass $600 Million in Trading Volume: How Prediction Markets Capture Real-Time Geopolitical Risk

Polymarket’s contract trading volume related to the Iran-Israel conflict has surpassed $600 million. This article takes a deep dive into the design of its event contracts, examines the "predictive" signals revealed by on-chain data, and analyzes the industry impact and risks as prediction markets emerge as a new kind of intelligence tool.

Blog Team2026-03-12

Analysis of Iran’s Three Ceasefire Conditions: Impact on Energy, Inflation, and the Crypto Market

Analysis of Iran’s Three Ceasefire Conditions: Impact on Energy, Inflation, and the Crypto Market

Iran’s president has outlined three key conditions for ending the war: recognition of rights, reparations, and international guarantees. This article provides an in-depth analysis of Iran’s ceasefire terms, breaking down how the conflict impacts the crypto market through energy and inflation channels.

Blog Team2026-03-12

When War Becomes a Commodity: Polymarket Removes "Nuclear Explosion" Contract, Crypto Prediction Markets Face Regulatory Turning Point

When War Becomes a Commodity: Polymarket Removes "Nuclear Explosion" Contract, Crypto Prediction Markets Face Regulatory Turning Point

Polymarket sparked intense controversy with its "nuclear detonation" prediction market, which was removed after reaching a trading volume of $850,000. This article takes a deep dive into the alleged insider trading, regulatory boundaries, and the structural impact this event has on the Web3 industry.

Blog Team2026-03-11