美联储即将进入静默期,机构维持其12月降息预期

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BlockBeats 消息,11 月 24 日,中信证券研报称,纽约联储主席威廉姆斯暗示 12 月进一步降息,市场降息预期扭转,目前市场认为美联储 12 月有七成概率降息。美联储将于 11 月 29 日开始进入静默期,静默期前鲍威尔没有公开发言或接受媒体采访的日程安排,其「亲密盟友」威廉姆斯的发言可能便是最后一次影响市场预期的美联储官员发言。延续此前观点,预计 12 月或是一次「close call」降息,幅度为 25bps。对市场而言,降息预期扭转叠加「28 点」计划推进和特朗普政府考虑对华出口 H200 芯片的消息,宏观因素短期不再成为市场压力的来源,市场或将更多聚焦 AI 公司发债、加密货币走势等问题。(金十)

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