Monad(MON)以惊人的速度完成 2.69 亿美元 ICO 后迅速成为市场焦点。然而短短数日内,市场情绪急转直下,该代币价格已下跌 24%,可持续性问题随之浮现。
Maelstrom CIO Arthur Hayes 在采访中直言,除了 BTC、SOL 与 ETH,大多数 Layer 1 项目最终将归零,Monad 也不例外。他认为 MON 是典型的“高 FDV、低流通量的 VC 代币”,短期上涨无法掩盖未来 99% 跌幅的风险。Hayes 指出,内部人士锁仓比例过高,一旦代币解锁,大规模抛售可能到来。
尽管 Monad 联合创始人 Keone Hon 强调项目拥有领先的技术创新,Hayes 却表示问题出在代币经济模型,而非技术。他质疑 Monad 如何在每月约 1% 的通胀下维持现有价格,并呼吁项目方解锁全部代币,让市场进入真正的价格发现阶段。
与此同时,社区有人指出 Maelstrom 自身持有多款锁仓代币项目,暗示 Hayes 的观点可能存在立场偏差。
市场端也在加剧压力。根据行情数据,MON 已跌破 0.0288 美元发行价,巨鲸持仓者面临巨大亏损。在 Hyperliquid 上,两名此前盈利的巨鲸在 24 小时内共损失 323 万美元,引发清算潮,进一步强化了看跌情绪。
随着巨鲸承受巨压、流动性骤降,MON 的短期前景更加严峻。尽管技术实力得到认可,但代币经济结构与解锁风险正成为拖累行情的核心因素,散户也可能成为最终的受害者。
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