《大空头》作者、知名投资人迈克尔·伯里（Michael Burry）近日就美联储拟在一个月内购买400亿美元国债（T-bills）的计划发出强烈警告。他认为，美联储此举暴露了美国银行体系的结构性脆弱，而非外界所认为的稳定。同时，这一政策走向可能对比特币（BTC）及更广泛的加密市场形成新的下行压力。
美联储主席鲍威尔表示，此次购债属于“储备管理购买”，并非量化宽松（QE）。但伯里指出，美联储在银行体系承压时持续扩大资产负债表，说明市场仍难以离开流动性支撑。他强调，如今银行储备已超过3万亿美元，远高于2023年区域性银行危机前的2.2万亿美元。他警告称，如果银行体系必须依靠如此规模的流动性“生命线”，这并不是强大，而是脆弱。
伯里进一步指出，美联储在量化紧缩（QT）结束后再次通过回购协议（repo）向市场注入流动性，使加密资产短线反弹，但这并非健康复苏。他建议市场谨慎看待华尔街近期推荐的银行股，并表示个人更偏好将超过FDIC保险上限的资金配置至国债货币市场基金（TMF）。
与此同时，美国财政部正增加短期国债发行，而美联储则购买这些短债，以避免10年期国债收益率被推高。市场分析人士认为，当前回购市场持续出现波动，美联储可能面临在年底采取更激进流动性措施的压力。
在宏观情绪转弱之际，加密市场同步承压。比特币在期权到期前24小时内下跌超过2%，最低触及89,459美元，当前徘徊在90,000美元附近。分析师警告称，比特币未能重新站稳93,000至94,000美元区间，短期或进一步回落至85,000美元支撑位。链上数据显示，矿工抛压上升，包括 Marathon Digital 大规模出售275枚比特币，价值超2530万美元，加重了市场下行情绪。
整体来看，宏观流动性变化与银行体系风险信号正在重新塑造市场预期。伯里的警告凸显潜在金融脆弱性，而比特币短期走势似乎仍面临压力。
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