PANews 1月15日消息,据Cointelegraph报道,CryptoQuant数据显示,比特币衍生品市场的未平仓合约(IO)自去年10月以来已下降约30%。分析指出,这种“去杠杆化信号”有助于清除市场累积的过度杠杆。历史上,类似的大幅下降往往标志着市场重要底部,为潜在的看涨复苏奠定更坚实基础。但若比特币价格持续下跌并完全进入熊市,未平仓合约可能进一步收缩,意味着更深度的去杠杆和调整期的延长。
去年10月6日,比特币未平仓合约曾达到超过150亿美元的历史峰值。当前,在价格上涨伴随未平仓合约下降的情况下,通常意味着杠杆空头头寸正在被平仓或清算,这种“空头挤压”局面可能利好比特币,因价格上涨更多由现货买盘驱动而非过度杠杆。不过,衍生品提供商Greeks Live指出,衍生品市场尚未进入结构性的看涨阶段,当前的交易结构更像是对价格突然上涨的被动反应。
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