比特币机构需求持续升温:ETF与大户钱包同步增长,2026年BTC长期前景受关注

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1月20日消息,链上数据分析平台 CryptoQuant 指出,比特币机构需求在2026年初依然保持强劲势头。数据显示,持有100至1000枚比特币的钱包数量持续增加,这一规模通常被视为机构投资者与相关金融产品的重要代表,反映出美国市场对比特币的配置意愿并未降温。

CryptoQuant 创始人 Ki Young Ju 周二表示,过去一年中,此类钱包新增约57.7万枚比特币,其中包含与现货比特币ETF相关的持仓,且资金流入趋势仍在延续。链上统计还显示,在过去24个月内,该类地址的比特币持有量增长约33%,时间节点与首批现货比特币ETF上线高度重合。

从资金层面观察,尽管比特币价格今年以来仅小幅上涨约6%,但美国现货比特币ETF的年内净流入规模已达到12亿美元,显示机构投资者更关注长期配置价值,而非短期价格波动。政治经济学家 Crypto Seth 评论称,机构对比特币和以太坊的布局仍处于早期阶段,2030年至2040年的市场格局可能远超当前认知。

除ETF外,数字资产基金的扩张同样推动机构持仓上行。自去年7月以来,以 Michael Saylor 旗下 Strategy 为代表的加密货币 DAT 已累计买入约26万枚比特币,按当前价格估算价值接近240亿美元。Glassnode 数据显示,相关持有量在六个月内增长约30%,已明显超过同期矿工新增供应,目前 DAT 总持仓已超过110万枚比特币。

与机构形成对比的是,散户情绪依然偏谨慎。比特币恐惧与贪婪指数本周回落至“恐惧”区间,评分为32。受美欧贸易紧张局势影响,比特币价格从此前97,000美元高位回落至92,000美元下方,短期波动加剧。但从中长期角度看,机构需求的持续累积,仍被视为支撑比特币2026年及以后走势的重要基础。

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