1月30日消息，在美国政府可能停摆的宏观不确定性影响下，XRP价格持续承压，近两日回调约7%，已跌破1.80美元关键支撑，目前在1.70美元附近反复测试。此前1.90至2.00美元区间形成的高点结构被彻底破坏，市场情绪明显转弱。
这轮下挫并非孤立事件。加密货币总市值下滑约5.95%，回落至2.81万亿美元，杠杆多头被迫平仓，清算金额累计超过17亿美元。比特币失守85,000美元关口，以太坊跌破3,000美元，风险资产整体走低，反映出宏观政策与地缘政治事件对市场的持续冲击。
不过，来自华盛顿的最新信号为市场提供了一定缓冲。特朗普与民主党议员就临时拨款方案达成两党共识，参议院领袖 Chuck Schumer 办公室也证实相关谈判取得进展。尽管在 ICE 预算及移民执法限制问题上仍存分歧，但政府停摆的紧迫风险已明显降温，《CLARITY法案》等立法进程有望继续推进。
资金流向却显示出分化。SoSoValue数据显示，XRP出现约9292万美元的净流出，而以太坊与Solana相关产品分别录得资金净流入，表明部分机构正在调整配置方向。
从技术面看，1月30日XRP报1.74美元，仍处于下降通道内。RSI为29，进入超卖区间，短线或有反弹空间；MACD处于负值并形成死叉，显示上行动能不足。1.70美元被视为关键防线，一旦失守，或将打开进一步下行通道；上方1.90美元则构成重要阻力。短期内，宏观消息与资金动向仍将主导XRP的价格节奏。
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