2月3日消息,Solana在经历一轮剧烈抛售后出现技术性修复。过去七天,SOL累计下跌约15.5%,并在1月末至2月初的市场动荡中一度触及95.87美元低点。随后价格获得支撑并反弹近8%,目前回升至103美元附近,显示短期卖压正在减弱。
链上与资金指标释放出关键信号。SOL在完成日线头肩顶形态的下行目标后,Chaikin资金流指标却逆势上行,形成典型看涨背离。这表明在95–96美元区域,大型资金开始布局。该指标正逼近零轴,一旦转正,将意味着买盘力量开始主导短线走势。
长期持有者的行为也为反弹提供了支撑。活跃度指标持续走低,说明老筹码并未大规模抛售,市场恐慌情绪有限。不过,短期投机资金正在增加。HODL Waves显示,持有1天至1周的地址占比上升,反映出更多短线交易者进场,这也意味着后续波动可能放大。
从技术结构看,95.87–96.88美元是当前最关键的支撑区,一旦跌破,SOL可能重新指向77美元。上方首个阻力在103.60美元,真正的多空分水岭位于120.88美元。该价位与20日EMA和前期关键高点重合,历史上曾引发强势反弹。
若SOL有效站稳120美元上方,市场或重新聚焦128美元甚至148美元区域;反之,若量能不足,短期涨势可能迅速降温。接下来,资金流向与长期持有者的稳定度,将决定Solana能否完成趋势反转。
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