比特币跌破7万美元引发清算潮:主流山寨币全面下跌,熊市信号显现

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2月5日消息,加密货币市场持续承压,比特币价格周三跌破7万美元关口,创下自特朗普当选美国总统以来的新低。过去24小时内,包括以太坊(ETH)、BNB、瑞波币(XRP)、Solana(SOL)、狗狗币(DOGE)和Cardano(ADA)在内的主流山寨币均下跌6%至10%,市场恐慌情绪显著升温。

Coinglass数据显示,过去一天内,全球加密市场清算金额超过8亿美元,16.5万名交易者遭遇平仓,Hyperliquid平台上的最大单笔清算达1136万美元。比特币与以太坊的期权交易显示下行风险加剧,25 delta偏斜度下降,提示短期熊市可能延续。Glassnode数据显示,净已实现损益三日均线每日下跌3.17亿美元,为2022年以来首次,表明流动性减弱且市场承压。

技术面亦显示进一步下行风险,比特币跌破2022年以来的365日移动平均线,可能下探6万至7万美元区间。知名分析师Peter Brandt及Michael Burry警告,比特币价格或进一步下行至5.8万美元,暴跌可能影响比特币交易公司、贵金属市场及整体金融市场。Strategy公司比特币持仓面临约40亿美元未实现损失,MSTR股票收盘下跌3.13%,报129.09美元。

机构需求减弱,现货比特币ETF持续资金外流,贝莱德抛售约3.738亿美元比特币。市场情绪方面,加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数降至极度恐慌区域,投资者谨慎情绪高企。分析师Michael van de Poppe指出,比特币/标普500周线RSI已触历史低点,而Ali Martinez警告若比特币跌破77,086美元,下一个关键支撑位在60,176美元和47,824美元。

综合来看,比特币及主流山寨币的下跌反映市场结构性疲软,短期内熊市信号明显,投资者需关注杠杆清算风险及现货ETF资金流向。

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