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分析：BTC或在加息周期中上涨，货币宽松政策可能不再是牛市催化剂

GateNews

2026-02-07 09:04:57

BTC0,04%

Odaily星球日报讯 ProCap Financial 首席投资官 Jeff Park 在接受 Anthony Pompliano 采访时表示，市场或需重新审视“宽松货币政策推动比特币牛市”的传统逻辑，更具宽松性的政策（如降息）未来可能不再是比特币进入牛市的关键催化剂。比特币下一阶段最重要的上行催化剂，可能是进入其所谓的“正相关比特币”阶段，即在美联储加息环境下价格仍持续上涨。他称这一状态为比特币的“终局形态”或“完美圣杯”，意味着比特币将摆脱依赖量化宽松（QE）流动性的叙事。Jeff Park 同时强调，若该情景实现，可能意味着传统金融体系逻辑被打破，包括无风险利率定价机制、美元霸权地位以及收益率曲线定价方式等。此外，预测平台 Polymarket 数据显示，交易员当前给予 2026 年美联储全年累计降息三次的概率最高，为 27%。（Cointelegraph）

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