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分析：比特币困于“结构性僵局”，需求走廊承接卖压但巨量套牢盘压制反弹空间

GateNews
bitcoin newsMarket AnalysisDerivatives Data
BTC2,64%

PANews 2月12日消息，据Glassnode分析，比特币价格持续受困于真实市场均值（约7.92万美元）与已实现价格（约5.5万美元）之间，反映出结构性破位后的防御态势。当前6万至7.2万美元的需求走廊持续消化卖压，但上方8.2万至9.7万美元及10万至11.7万美元区间存在大量未实现亏损的筹码，构成反弹时的潜在阻力。短期持有者盈利状况仍为负值，凸显近期买家信心脆弱，限制了价格上行延续性。数字资产机构资金流已转为同步净流出，表明机构普遍采取去风险策略，现货市场承接能力有限。现货交易量在抛售期间激增但未能持续，显示市场参与以被动反应为主，而非主动建仓。永续合约持仓量降温，方向性溢价压缩，反映杠杆交易者离场、投机动能衰退。隐含波动率与偏度指标显示市场持续存在下行对冲需求，与防御性市场姿态一致。做市商伽马值及期权持仓结构加剧了价格波动反应，在流动性脆弱的背景下导致行情持续时间短暂。

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