机构:比特币仍面临进一步下跌风险,深熊时价格或将再次「腰斩」

BTC2,5%

BlockBeats 消息,2 月 14 日,据 businessinsider 报道,在本月给客户的一份报告中,Ned Davis Research 的策略师表示,尽管比特币在过去数月已遭遇大规模抛售,但仍面临进一步下行风险。

Ned Davis Research 首席主题策略师 Pat Tschosik 与分析师 Philippe Mouls 指出,根据对比特币过往下跌周期的分析,若当前熊市演变为全面「加密寒冬」,预计本轮下跌从峰值到谷底的跌幅将达到 70%-75%,即比特币价格可能最低跌至 31,000 美元。

比特币目前已较去年 10 月的峰值下跌 44%,若跌至 31,000 美元关口,意味着自当前水平再跌 55%。

Tschosik 与 Mouls 补充称,数据显示,追溯至 2011 年,历次比特币熊市的平均跌幅为 84%,平均持续 225 天,而自去年 10 月初比特币见顶以来,至今仅 129 天。

不过,两位分析师也指出,「寒冬」并非必然发生。与过去相比,当前比特币拥有更多机构买家,这可能为价格带来更大的稳定性。「观察历史数据会发现,寒冬/重大熊市的跌幅正随着时间的推移略有减缓,我们认为这一趋势将持续,」他们在谈及价格预测时表示。

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Articoli correlati

Morgan Stanley Adds 286.7 BTC in 5 Hours, Total Holdings Reach 2,620 BTC

According to Onchain Lens, Morgan Stanley increased its Bitcoin holdings by 286.7 BTC approximately 5 hours ago on May 2, with a transaction value of around $22.48 million. The bank's total Bitcoin position now stands at 2,620 BTC, valued at approximately $205 million at current

GateNews35m fa

Canadian Pension Giant AIMCo Buys Bitcoin Treasury Firm Strategy, Now Sitting on $69M Unrealized Gain

Canadian pension fund AIMCo recently returned to Michael Saylor's bitcoin treasury company Strategy after previously exiting, now holding an unrealized gain of $69 million on the position.

GateNews54m fa

Paradigm Researcher Proposes PACTs Model to Protect Satoshi-Era Bitcoin From Quantum Threats

According to Paradigm researcher Dan Robinson, a new model called Provable Address-Control Timestamps (PACTs) could protect dormant bitcoins, including those belonging to Bitcoin's creator Satoshi Nakamoto, from future quantum computing threats. The proposal

GateNews1h fa

SBI Group, Visa Launch Crypto Card With up to 10% BTC, ETH, XRP Promo Rewards

Japanese giant SBI Group is bringing crypto rewards into everyday spending with a new Visa card offering that converts points into BTC, ETH, or XRP. The campaign offers rewards of up to 10% for Gold users and 2.5% for standard users. Key Takeaways: SBI and Visa launched credit cards that convert

Coinpedia1h fa

Bitcoin Rises Nearly 3% in 24 Hours, Eyes $80,000 Level

Bitcoin rose nearly 3% over the past 24 hours as it continues to target the $80,000 level amid broader market movements in equities and commodities.

GateNews3h fa
Commento
0/400
Nessun commento