3月4日消息，以太坊（ETH）价格近期徘徊在 1980–1990 美元区间，未能突破 2000 美元关键心理关口。Santiment 数据显示，以太坊日活跃地址数达到 837,200 个，创十年新高，新钱包创建量约为每日 284,800 个，较五年前增长 64%，显示网络使用活跃度持续提升。
链上数据显示，过去一周持有 1 万至 10 万 ETH 的巨鲸钱包在周日和周一两天累计增持约 12 万 ETH，净流入总量达 32 万 ETH；而持有 100 至 1 万 ETH 的小型钱包则抛售约 21 万 ETH。美国投资者保持谨慎，美国现货以太坊 ETF 录得 3860 万美元资金流入，情绪指数维持正值，显示买盘尚稳。
期货市场方面，ETH 空头头寸在近期大幅收窄，表明投机性做空力量减弱，多头清算压力集中在 1900–1950 美元区间，而空头在 2000 美元以上逐渐增加。Glassnode 数据显示，1800 美元附近存在大量买入支撑，过去 30 天约有 123 万枚 ETH 在平均 1890 美元成交。
技术指标显示，以太坊相对强弱指数 RSI 约为 43，动能偏弱但未触及超卖区域。关键阻力位在 2020 美元、2050 美元及 2080 美元，突破 2120 美元可能打开通向 2200 美元的大门。下行支撑位分别为 1960 美元和 1932 美元，跌破 1895 美元则可能触发下探至 1850–1820 美元区间。
综合来看，巨鲸逢低买入与网络活跃创新高形成支撑，但价格仍受技术阻力压制，短期波动区间较为明显。市场观察人士建议关注 2000 美元关口的突破与多空资金博弈情况，以判断下一步趋势。
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