According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, a newly created address purchased $52,000 worth of prediction market shares betting that the US and Iran will not reach a permanent peace agreement by May 15. The address also acquired smaller positions betting against a deal by May 31.

According to a report by Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) released in mid-March 2026, Polymarket may have broader insider trading issues than previously known. Analysis of 435,000 settled markets and $54.4 billion in trading volume from January 2021 to mid-March 2026 reveals unusually high

According to BlockBeats, market participants maintained bets on Bank of England rate hikes, with expectations for 73 basis points of increases in 2026 as of April 30.

According to on-chain researcher Fleck, Hyperliquid is publicly testing HIP-4, a proposal to integrate prediction markets directly into its trading platform alongside perpetual futures. The decentralized exchange partnered with Kalshi, which co-authored the proposal, formalizing the collaboration in

According to regulators including the Federal Reserve and Bank of England, hedge funds have accumulated a record $6.6 trillion in leverage to finance bets on U.S. Treasuries, with short positions in Treasury futures reaching historic extremes. The IMF's April 2026 report flagged that some hedge fund

Gate News message, April 29 — A trader with a 53% win rate purchased $43,000 worth of prediction contracts betting on T1's victory over Nongshim Red Force (NS) in an upcoming League of Legends match on Polymarket, according to monitoring by Odaily Seer. The position was opened at 75 cents per contra

Gate News message, April 29 — On Polymarket's prediction market for NBA Eastern Conference First Round Game 5 between the Knicks and Hawks, an account with a 35% win rate (0xe5b70fd855af9258d9463992e4f1ed7987905ee3) purchased approximately $70,000 in contracts betting on a Knicks victory. The accoun

Gate News message, April 26 — According to Polymarket prediction market data, there is an 88% probability that MegaETH will have a fully diluted valuation (FDV) exceeding $1 billion one day after launch. Earlier reports indicate the token's TGE is expected on April 30. Market participants are

Gate News message, April 25 — A high-win-rate account (address: 0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27) with a 63% success rate purchased $310,000 worth of positions betting on the Timberwolves to defeat the Nuggets in Game 4 of the NBA Western Conference first round on Polymarket, according to