Prediction Market

According to Polymarket's official statement, the prediction market platform has denied recent allegations that it suffered a data breach, saying the information being circulated involves public API endpoints and on-chain blockchain data. A hacker using the pseudonym "xorcat" claimed to have

According to BlockBeats, multiple major institutions on April 29 previewed Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference scheduled for April 30, warning of potential hawkish risks. Most institutions expect the Fed to maintain a cautious stance amid improving labor markets and persistent inflation press

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring of Polymarket's UEFA Champions League winner prediction market, Paris Saint-Germain's odds to win rose to 32% on April 29, matching Bayern Munich, with a 24-hour gain of 6%. Bayern Munich's odds fell 5%

According to CoinDesk, Hyperliquid recently launched outcome tokens for prediction markets, introducing a zero opening fee model to compete with Polymarket and Kalshi. The platform charges fees only on closing or settlement transactions across minting, trading, burning, and settlement scenarios. The

According to official data, on April 29, crypto trading aggregation platform XBIT ranked fourth on the Polymarket Builder leaderboard with approximately $36.12 million in monthly trading volume. Launched in early April, XBIT achieved significant growth within weeks and has passed official Polymarket

Prediction market volume climbed to $25.7 billion in March, a 10.6% jump from February, with most users trading under $10,000, according to a report from Bitget Wallet produced in collaboration with Polymarket. The report tracked 1.29 million wallets in the first quarter and found that retail activi

Gate News message, April 29 — Kalshi has launched a music streaming weekly play prediction market, allowing users to trade on the up or down movement of Spotify weekly play counts for artists including Drake, Taylor Swift, Justin Bieber, and Bad Bunny. Users can now speculate on the weekly streamin

根據市場消息，首檔預測市場ETF預計5月5日生效，Roundhill 已提交申請，主打民主黨/共和黨在美國總統、參議院、眾議院選舉的對決。ETF價格反映事件發生機率，隨民調與新聞波動。專家認為可提升市場流動性，但仍須面臨CFTC與州府就監管的爭議，及體育賽事等範圍的法律挑戰。

Gate News message, April 29 — A trader with a 53% win rate purchased $43,000 worth of prediction contracts betting on T1's victory over Nongshim Red Force (NS) in an upcoming League of Legends match on Polymarket, according to monitoring by Odaily Seer. The position was opened at 75 cents per contra

Polymarket, one of the largest prediction markets in operation, has reportedly approached the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to lift a four-year ban on American users of its main on-chain exchange, according to Bloomberg. With four of five CFTC commissioner seats vacant, Chair Mich

據 Decrypt 報道，美國陸軍一級軍士長加農·肯·範·戴克（Gannon Ken Van Dyke）於 4 月 29 日在紐約聯邦法院就利用機密情報在預測市場 Polymarket 獲利的指控拒不認罪，以 25 萬美元保釋金獲釋，並被勒令上繳護照及限制出行；檢察官稱，這是聯邦政府首次就預測市場活動相關案件提起訴訟。

According to posts on dark web forums, Polymarket denied allegations that a hacker stole over 300,000 customer records and 10,000 user profiles. The platform stated that the data referenced by the attacker was already publicly accessible through its open APIs and on-chain blockchain records, not the

根據 Polymarket 於 4 月 29 日在 X 貼文，網路安全帳號 Dark Web Informer 指控去中心化預測市場平台 Polymarket 遭到入侵，超過 30 萬筆記錄及一個漏洞利用工具包被洩露至網路犯罪論壇；Polymarket 隨即在 X 聲明否認，表示所有鏈上數據公開可審計。

Polymarket 完成 CLOB v2 交易所升級，4/28 12:06 公告。當天 11:02 啟動維護、暫停交易並清空訂單簿，約 64 分鐘後恢復接單並重新開放。升級釋出 100 萬美元流動性獎勵，前2小時 50萬，剩餘時段再 50萬。核心為全面交易所改造，重建交易引擎與合約、抵押資產轉為 pUSD，下一步觀察 pUSD 成為預設抵押與做市商留存。

Gate News message, April 29 — Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net outflows of $89.68 million yesterday (April 28), with BlackRock's IBIT leading losses at $112 million. Ethereum spot ETFs saw net outflows of $21.8 million, with BlackRock's ETHA accounting for $13.17 million of the decline. Meanwhile, Mi

Gate News message, April 29 — Roundhill's prediction market ETF is expected to launch next week (May 5), according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart. The firm has submitted its application, with an effective date set for May 5. The inaugural prediction market ETF will track outcomes of U.S. c

Gate News message, April 29 — Decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket appears to have suffered a data breach, with threat actor xorcat releasing over 300,000 data records and accompanying exploit tools on a known cybercriminal forum. According to reports, attackers exploited undisclosed

根據 The Block 報道，美國商品期貨交易委員會（CFTC）於 4 月 28 日向威斯康辛州東區聯邦地區法院提起訴訟，這是 CFTC 在過去一個月內就預測市場管轄權問題起訴的第五個州。CFTC 訴狀主張其對預測市場擁有「專屬管轄權」，稱威斯康辛州試圖將受聯邦監管的市場定為犯罪，侵犯了國會設計的聯邦監管體系。

比特幣（BTC）延續疲軟姿態，4 月 29 日暫報 76,250 美元左右。彭博 ETF 分析師發文稱，預測市場 ETF 預計下週推出。根據派盾監測，疑似 Trading Protocol 的 YieldCore-3rd-deal 金庫遭到攻擊，損失約 39.8 萬美元。

Gate News message, April 29 — On Polymarket's prediction market for NBA Eastern Conference First Round Game 5 between the Knicks and Hawks, an account with a 35% win rate (0xe5b70fd855af9258d9463992e4f1ed7987905ee3) purchased approximately $70,000 in contracts betting on a Knicks victory. The accoun