According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket launched a new prediction market today (May 1) on whether Jeffrey Epstein's will or final written statement will be publicly disclosed. The market will resolve to "Yes" if any letter or written message written by Epstein and intended as a will is publicly disclos

Gate News message, April 28 — Polymarket has launched a new prediction market on whether Jimmy Kimmel will be fired or resign by May 31, 2026. The "yes" outcome currently stands at a 9% probability. The market resolves to "yes" if Kimmel stops hosting "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" on ABC by 11:59 p.m. EDT o

Gate News message, April 27 — Polysights, a third-party prediction market data platform, analyzed over 20,000 Polymarket markets from the past six months and released a volatility ranking. The analysis revealed that cryptocurrency-related markets account for four of the top ten most volatile markets

Gate News message, April 24 — Trump has indicated openness to alternative investigative approaches regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, potentially shifting the inquiry away from the Department of Justice to Congress or other independent bodies. "Yes, it's actually quite easy to do," Trump

Gate News message, April 22 — The probability of a permanent US-Iran peace deal on Polymarket before April 30 has dropped sharply to 18%, down 17% over the past 24 hours, according to monitoring by Odaily Seer. Total trading volume on this prediction market contract has exceeded $35 million. The co

Viktoria Bonya's viral video criticizes Putin's government, warning of public frustration due to corruption. She likens public sentiment to a "coiled spring" ready to snap. The Kremlin acknowledged her message, suggesting signs of weakness ahead of elections.

President Trump expressed optimism that the conflict with Iran is nearing its end, stating in a Fox News interview that the war is "close to ending." This followed a social media clip where he claimed "it's over," prompting clarification from both him and the interviewer.

Gate News 消息，4 月 8 日，据 Lookonchain 监测，四个疑似内幕交易地址通过押注美伊在 4 月 7 日前停火获利约 66.3 万美元。这些钱包大多数于 4 月 7 日新创建并获得资金，在停火消息公布前几小时购买「YES」选项，此前没有任何活动记录，仅押注该事件，且以极低的赔率（3.9%）入场。

4月7日，Predict平台上关于Polymarket发币首日FDV预测市场大幅下挫，FDV大于20亿美元的概率为13%。Polymarket宣布升级交易引擎并推出稳定币Polymarket USD，引发市场对其是否视为发币的争议，导致相关事件概率波动。