As of 2025-12-22 16:00 (UTC+8), BTC is currently at 88,750 USD, with a 24h fluctuation of 87,900-89,630 USD, showing a bearish trend, and a short-term rebound needs to break out with higher trade volumes for confirmation.

1. Key Price Levels (Support/Resistance)

• First support: 88,000 USD (24h low + previous hourly low), if broken, look for second support at 86,500 USD (daily MA30)

• First resistance: 89,500 USD (24h high + previous hourly high), if broken, look towards the second resistance at 90,000 USD (psychological level + daily MA10)

• Key boundary: 88,500 USD, stabilizing towards bullish, losing ground towards bearish

2. Interpretation of Multi-Period Indicators

• Daily: RSI≈41 (neutral to weak), MACD bars weakening, dual lines adhering below the zero axis, bears in control; price between MA30 (86,500) - MA10 (90,000), trading volume shrinking, dominated by fluctuations.

• 4 hours: The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the price below the middle band. The KDJ is turning up from a low position, indicating a short-term rebound demand, but the trading volume is insufficient, and the momentum is limited.

• 2 hours: EMA5/10 intertwined, price moving flat along the middle track, oscillating slightly upwards, must have higher trade volumes to break through 89,500 to confirm a stronger trend.

Three, Trading Strategies (Executable)

1. Bullish Strategy

◦ Opening a position: Stabilize and go long as it pulls back to 88,200-88,400 USD, stop loss at 87,800 USD (breaks 88,000 support)

◦ Target: First target 89,500 USD (reduce position by 50%), second target 90,000 USD (remaining take profit)

◦ Trigger: Close above 89,500 on the 4-hour chart with higher trade volumes, increase position to target 90,000

2. Short Selling Strategy

◦ Open position: Short when rebounding to 89,300-89,700 USD with a stop loss at 90,200 USD (break above 89,500 resistance)

◦ Target: First target 88,500 USD (reduce position by 50%), second target 88,000 USD (remaining take profit)

◦ Trigger: Close below 88,000 for 2 hours with higher trade volumes, increase position to watch 86,500

3. Watch-and-wait conditions

• The price is fluctuating narrowly in the range of 88,500-89,300, with trading volume < 70% of the 24h average, observing and waiting for a breakout direction.

IV. Risk Warning

• The market fluctuation (weakness in US stocks/ETH) may trigger a downward movement; if it falls below 88,000, it will turn bearish.

• If it breaks through 89,500 but the volume is insufficient, be cautious of a false breakout and take profits or cut losses in a timely manner.
#2025Gate年度账单 $BTC ‌