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IKAGI: A lesson for 2026.
If there's one, is probably this one...
"I'm confused, I am too exposed", or "I bought here, price is bearish, but you said you are expecting a move soon, so I have doubts".
This has an EASY fix. But it requires a deep level of honesty towards your own self. Chart models, or predictions are 95% of the time very simple, and straightforward. You are just:
1. Overthinking it. Because you are overriding a weak "plan" due to external factors like headlines, other people's opinions (Regardless of how good or bad they are as traders/analysts), etc.
2. You need to work on a stronger plan/strategy. That's risk management: capital preservation, and profits should never be a miracle. Much less based on hope, or luck, but on an actionable plan. One that you can follow with discipline, and focus, regardless of the move, the headlines, or any "potential" future movement.