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JUST IN: Polymarket's probabilities paint a cautious picture for Bitcoin in 2026, with a "base case" below $150,000 and limited expectations in the short term.
Even so, the debate is open: from short bets and indirect exposure via stocks, to derivatives on Bitcoin ETFs and the old HODL strategy to weather another phase of the cycle.

#GlobalOilPricesSurgePast$100
Validation and Refinement of the 2026 Oil Shock Thesis
Your analysis broadly aligns with the current macro narrative around the 2026 oil market shock. The central premise an acute supply-side disruption centered on the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf energy infrastructure—is analytically sound. However, some of the price ranges and estimated supply losses you referenced appear slightly higher than the levels reflected in most recent market reporting.
Below is a refined assessment.
1. Core Catalyst: Strait of Hormuz Supply Shock
The Strait of Hormuz remains the most cri

Bullish momentum, seize the next wave first!
The signal of patience finally resonates.
Secure your gains and continue to patiently wait for the next opportunity.

Sincerity is like underwear; everyone wears it, and no one knows if others are wearing it. But if I wear it on my head, you'll see at a glance that I'm genuine. However, wearing underwear on your head just makes you look crazy, and sincerity is the same.

Intraday Second Dan
Bitcoin 66,388 long, exited at 67,305, Luodai 970 points, 73,31 oil, Monday, if one goes smoothly, everything goes smoothly#国际油价突破100美元

【$OP Signal】Long! 1H breakout and retest confirmed, main force defending the market under negative fee rate
$OP The 1H timeframe has completed the retest of the EMA20, and the price has regained the key level of 0.1173, indicating a short-term momentum rebound. Although the 4H timeframe is still in a consolidation and downward channel, the 1H structure has already shown a clear buy signal. Open interest remains stable, and the negative funding rate suggests crowded shorts, making it an excellent short-term sniper opportunity.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Order: 0.1161 - 0.1173
🛑Stop Loss: 0.1147

$PI Can I still get a price below 0.20? Air Force, give me some support! I want to buy in at a low point!

This can definitely not be a coincidence.
The current inflation situation in the United States is eerily similar to the period from 1970 to 1980.
But this is not the only common point.
During 1970-1980:
Oil prices rose.
Conflicts escalated in the Middle East.
Gold and silver prices surged significantly.
The U.S. economy was in stagflation.
Compared to today, each of these points is astonishingly consistent.

$PI Don't envy our strength! We've been building the Pi network infrastructure for 7 years. Don't criticize our consensus; we've already embedded V23. Don't mock our persistence! Our achievements have been inscribed into the Pi badge!

【$LINK Signal】1H Breakout and Pullback Confirmation, Short-term Sniping
$LINK On the 1H timeframe, after completing a V-shaped pullback near 8.50, the price re-approached the EMA20 and surged with increased volume, indicating a return of short-term momentum. Although the 4H timeframe remains in a consolidation zone, the breakout structure on the 1H is clear, and open interest remains stable, suggesting it is not merely short covering, but signs of institutional support. The current price is at the upper end of the optimized entry zone, making it an excellent short-term sniping point.
🎯Directi

3.9 Big Brother and Second Brother
On Monday's opening, the new trading week officially begins, and the market trend has become quite clear—bullish momentum is almost exhausted, unable to rebound. The four-hour chart shows a continuous downward decline, with the market mainly moving in a slow, grinding decline. This round of downward movement is far from over.
From a structural perspective, the bearish trend is clear and clean, with the Bollinger Bands diverging downward in sync. The candlesticks are consistently pressured near the lower band, which continues to extend downward, indicating a t

Two years ago, everyone was making money by entering the Bitcoin community. Now, even two years after entering the Bitcoin community, everyone is still making money.

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Currently, ETH can be synchronized to attempt a high altitude. Pay attention to the resistance in the 1985-2025 and 2055-2095 ranges above. If it holds without breaking, you can directly try a high altitude, with a potential space of 30-450 points downward.

Last Friday, gold opened at around $5081.2. In the morning, gold fluctuated and rose around $5067, with an initial surge reaching as high as $5143.7. It then oscillated and pulled back, with the European session dipping to a low of around $5062.7 before stabilizing. During the US session, amid non-farm payroll data, gold began a strong rally, reaching a high of around $5174.5. The market closed at approximately $5171.3!
On Monday, gold opened with a sharp decline mainly due to the US dollar strengthening again, which suppressed the continuation of gold's rally. As a result, after an initial ri

There’s a guy who’s into A-shares trading bragging that BYD will go up over 100.
Does anyone who knows about BYD want to chime in?