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Pause period of 20 years vs. short-term compromise? Will Iran make key concessions?
The possibility of short-term concessions exists, but the likelihood of accepting a 20-year comprehensive pause is extremely slim.
Last weekend’s Islamabad negotiations once advanced to 80%, but ultimately collapsed over core terms: the U.S. insisted on a 20-year uranium enrichment freeze, while Iran’s bottom line was only 5 years; additionally, disagreements over the timing of the Strait of Hormuz opening (Iran demands it only after a final peace agreement is reached), disposal of approximately 900 pounds of h

⚽️ Powering the New Stars, Redefining the Future | Gate x Inter Milan Strategic Partnership Further Upgraded!
Starting the journey in 2024, and deeply empowering by 2026. We are proud to announce: Gate has officially become the sleeve badge sponsor of Inter Milan U23 Youth Team!
Founder Dr. Han stated: “We believe that the U23 squad represents the future of football. This additional targeted investment is not only a support for competitive sports but also a firm commitment by Gate to the ‘new generation of talent’ and ‘long-term value’.”
When Web3 innovation meets the youthful passion of

Gate CandyDrop New Coin Strategy: Post to Get 800 $MEZO, Last 3 Days of Countdown! Miss it and you'll regret it!🔥
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🔥 Gate.io CandyDrop MEZO airdrop is in full swing! The star this time is Mezo ($MEZO)—a revolutionary **BitcoinFi protocol** built specifically for Bitcoin holders! What's more exciting is that, as a content creator, just by posting an original co

CRCL surges 9%—Legislative tailwinds ignite the crypto sector
USDC issuer Circle Internet Group (CRCL US) saw its stock jump 12.09% in a single day on April 13, closing at $98.68, with trading volume significantly expanding to about 13.57 million shares. The direct catalyst behind the stock breakout was the reopening of the CLARITY Act legislative window after the Senate ended its two-week Easter recess and fully resumed its agenda.
As the issuer of the world’s second-largest stablecoin, USDC, Circle’s business highly depends on regulatory clarity. The market broadly expects that after the CLA

The United States Plans to Block the Strait of Hormuz—“Economic Warfare” Intended to Spark Controversy
The Trump administration’s blockade decision is essentially a dual approach of “economic war” and “military war.” Analysts believe that the core purpose of blocking the Strait of Hormuz is to cut off the key oil revenue of the Iranian government and military operations, thereby weakening Iran’s long-term combat capability.
But this move is facing widespread questioning. Some U.S. lawmakers said: “I don’t understand how blocking the Strait of Hormuz would force Iranians to open the Strait.” On

On April 13, according to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 98.4%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points by June has decreased to 0%, the probability of holding rates steady is 98.2%, and the probability of raising rates by a total of 25 basis points is 1.8%.#Gate广场四月发帖挑战

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The marathon-style negotiations between the US and Iran held in Pakistan lasted 21 hours, running from Saturday into early Sunday morning. After five rounds of back-and-forth standoffs and exchanges of written views, they ultimately still ended in a breakdown. The US side responded with a brief press conference by Vice President Vance, leaving after just 4 minutes. He accused Iran of refusing to clearly abandon nuclear weapons, saying “the differences are too great,” and also left behind a “final plan” waiting for Iran’s reply. Iran, in turn, rebutted by saying the US put forward “excessive an

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🚀 Gate 13 Anniversary Celebration Officially Launches!
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The essence of weekend trading is to judge the boundary between "certainty" and "uncertainty" in an environment of highly asymmetric information.
The only core variable this Sunday is the US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad.
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1. Gold: Bulls and bears hanging by a thread, no bets on direction, just waiting for the result
1. Current position
Closing at $4,748 on Friday, gold has gained 1.6% this week, marking the third consecutive week of gains. But on Friday itself, the price retreated 0.6%, silver rose slightly by 0.1%, and the gold-silver trend diverged again, indicating high disagre

Gate Anniversary Special Gift "Thirteen Journeys" — Not just a story, but the beginning of everything.
Thirteen years, not only a passage of time but a journey of trust, resilience, and long-term thinking.
The industry has experienced constant ups and downs, but Gate has always prioritized user experience, asset security, and system stability;
Between booms and busts, we persist in doing the hard but right things.
"Every step has shaped who we are today."
Every iteration, every review, every choice to avoid shortcuts, has come together to form today’s Gate.
"Thirteen Journeys" is n

On April 9th, Trump warned Iran on social media to immediately stop charging tolls for passing oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, accusing Iran of "doing very poorly." The U.S. previously openly claimed that the tolls should be collected by the United States. Iran responded firmly, announcing that control of the strait has entered a "new phase" and that a toll collection mechanism is being promoted. Although the U.S. and Iran reached a two-week ceasefire agreement, the situation in the strait remains chaotic: on the 8th, only 4 ships were allowed to pass, the lowest daily number since A

The linkage logic between crude oil and gold
Currently, the two mainly transmit signals through three pathways:
1. Inflation—Interest Rate Pathway: Rising oil prices → Increased inflation expectations → The Federal Reserve finds it difficult to cut rates / or even raises rates → Real interest rates rise → Suppresses gold; Falling oil prices → Reverse pathway → Benefits gold;
2. Petrodollar Pathway: Rising oil prices boost global dollar demand, supporting the dollar index, and a stronger dollar in turn suppresses gold;
3. Safe-Haven Linkage Pathway: During escalating geopolitical conflicts, cru

The shackles of energy inflation have been lifted, but the "ceasefire illusion" will soon be shattered
The most core change in this round of market is: in the first half of the geopolitical conflict, gold is simultaneously under the dual pressure of "energy inflation" and "interest rate hike expectations." In March, COMEX gold plummeted 10.9%, marking the first single-month decline of over 10% since 2013. After the ceasefire news, the sharp drop in oil prices eased inflation concerns, and market expectations for rate cuts shifted from "betting on rate hikes" to about a 65% chance of at least o

Short-term Market Review: Ceasefire Sparks Extreme Divergence, Then Rapid Reversal
On April 8th, after the ceasefire news was announced, the global asset logic instantly shifted: oil prices plummeted violently, Brent crude fell below $100 per barrel, WTI once dropped nearly 20%, with a single-day decline hitting a six-year record; gold surged over 3%, COMEX gold prices broke through $4,800 per ounce, the US dollar index weakened, and the re-emergence of rate cut expectations drove gold prices soaring.
But the reversal came very quickly. Just one day after the ceasefire, Israel launched a large