Amelia1231

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If nothing unexpected happens, we might experience about a week of copycat season. Keep an eye on when the bankruptcy sectors USTC, LUNA, LUNC, FTT start pumping, then the copycats can run away. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战

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#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 Celebration begins!🧧
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If nothing unexpected happens, the Iran war is about to end. The day before yesterday, Iran announced that they are drafting an agreement with Oman regarding passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Before the U.S. military withdraws, there may be a heavy bombing for negotiations, but it is unlikely to drag on. The end of April is a high-probability event.
The three assets most affected by the end of the war: Bitcoin$BTC Gold$XAU Crude Oil$CL #Gate广场四月发帖挑战

1. Market Overview: Consolidation at Low Levels, Monthly Chart Ends Six-Month Decline
In Q1 2026, Bitcoin declined approximately 24%, marking the worst start to a quarter since 2018. After entering March, Bitcoin found temporary support in the $67k to $69k range, but the $72k level posed a clear resistance. The entire March market exhibited a typical "narrow-range consolidation" pattern, which multiple institutions described as a "liquidity compression phase."
Notably, Bitcoin closed March with a gain of about 2%, ending a five-month consecutive decline—its longest losing streak since 2018. As

The major resistance zone for gold is approximately between $4,750 and $5,000 per ounce.
The major resistance zone for silver is between $74 and $83 per ounce.
If there is buying pressure below, gold is around $4,200, and silver is around $65.$XAU .

Although the U.S. stock market S&P 500 has started to rebound on the daily chart, both the weekly and monthly charts show typical topping patterns. Therefore, the first target price for the S&P 500 is 5600, of course, this is not the bottom. The second target price is 4900. If it drops to 4900, from this round's high point, the decline would be about 30%, which can only be considered an average correction. Whether there is a third target price depends on multiple factors. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战

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✅ Sharing King: Share the event link to the plaza or external platforms to receive a Gate bottle opener + 200U!
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A highly accurate indicator:
The Bitcoin Bubble Index has indeed played a very good role in anchoring sentiment and the deviation from value.
Since 2022, every time the Bitcoin Bubble Index drops near 10, Bitcoin enters a bottoming zone.
This has not failed in the past four years, and the decline of the bubble index has gradually decreased as Bitcoin's market size has grown.
With deep participation from Wall Street funds, Bitcoin's liquidity and depth are no longer comparable to the past. The absolute deep pits caused by traditional "retail panic selling" are becoming less common.
From this pe

A single statement from Trump sent oil prices soaring past $107! The Strait of Hormuz "paralyzed," global inflation may explode?
On April 2nd, during a prime-time speech, Trump directly caused chaos in the global energy market.
He announced: U.S. military will launch "extremely severe" strikes against Iran within the next two to three weeks, and the Strait of Hormuz will "naturally reopen after the conflict ends"—but no timeline was given.
The market instantly panicked: Brent crude broke through $106, surging over 5% intraday; WTI crude also rose above $104.
In fact, the strait has been closed

#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 Celebration begins!🧧
Post to earn, get red envelopes every day, and 100% chance to win for newcomers!
🎁 Benefits Highlights:
✅ Newcomer Gift: Post your first message in the plaza, 100% guaranteed red envelope!
✅ Posting Reward: The more you post, the more interactions you get, and the bigger the red envelope!
✅ Sharing King: Share the event link to the plaza or external platforms, and receive a Gate bottle opener + 200U!
✅ Climb the leaderboard: Top 100 winners receive prizes, including Gate 13th Anniversary Limited Edition Gift Box, Red Bull jackets, and more!
Take action now

Based on the latest data as of April 1, 2026, the gold and crude oil markets are experiencing significant divergence due to the dramatic changes in Middle East geopolitical tensions: gold has surged sharply, while crude oil has suffered a heavy decline. The market's core focus is entirely on signals of easing in the US-Iran situation.
📈 Gold: Rebound to recover $4,700, short-term pressure alleviated
On April 1, gold prices rebounded strongly, with COMEX gold futures briefly rising to $4,751, and spot gold surpassing the $4,700 mark.
· Reason for the rebound: Easing of US-Iran tensions reduced

Today, the market's core is not about bullish or bearish sentiment, but about "structural opportunities within divergences."
1. ETFs Still Serve as Sentiment Indicators
Recently, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF funds have continued to flow out, indicating that institutions remain cautious in the short term. The biggest risk in this phase is not the lack of opportunities, but that many people lose their rhythm when volatility appears.
2. On-Chain Funds Remain Active
Although the overall market is under pressure, the supply of stablecoins and the scale of on-chain transfers remain high, indicating that

A new month, and market sentiment has been ignited—signals of easing in the Middle East situation combined with Trump's upcoming speech, with bulls shouting "reversal" after a monthly candle close in the green.
But the more emotions are running high, the more we need to stay calm. The game of interests between the US and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, and compensation is bound to be lengthy. One speech is far from enough to establish a substantive framework. Currently, we are in a typical "buy the rumor" phase, with prices already pricing in optimistic expectations. The risk o

It seems everyone is all in on the short side, $HYPE $SOL $AVAX BNB BTC DOGE LINK TAO WLD (98.7% short) and PENGU (96.1% short) are showing extremely bearish positions. Everyone is shorting, no wonder it can't go down. #创作者冲榜

When crude oil rises, $BTC drops. The last time there was such an inverse correlation with BTC was gold. For short-term trading, there's no need to analyze technical charts; just focus on the movement of crude oil and Trump's speech at 21:00 tonight.

The US stock Nasdaq Index, whether on daily, weekly, or monthly charts, is currently showing a very standard topping and downward trend. Although recent US stock declines have not triggered a drop in $BTC , mainly because BTC fell earlier on, if the US stocks continue to decline, such as breaking below the MA120 moving average, BTC will still be dragged down at that point. #创作者冲榜