As the Federal Reserve is about to hold an FOMC meeting, liquidity in the U.S. private credit market is tight, with several funds restricting investor redemptions, potentially triggering a chain reaction and causing capital to flow out to more liquid assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Market risks are increasing, and it is important to monitor the Fed's policy moves and shifts in capital flows.

As Middle East tensions escalate, researchers point out that Bitcoin's price drivers are shifting from traditional economic indicators toward geopolitical risks. Recently, Bitcoin has demonstrated strong performance among safe-haven assets, showing that investors are reassessing its role, with institutional capital continuing to flow in, reflecting recognition of Bitcoin as a holdable asset.

A Singapore court sentenced a man to two years imprisonment after he was convicted of involvement in a cryptocurrency theft case that resulted in approximately $6.9 million in losses. The case stemmed from hackers illegally accessing crypto wallets and transferring assets. Police successfully identified and arrested gang members by tracing the flow of funds. Law enforcement stated that cybercrime remains active in the digital asset sector, and countries are strengthening cooperation to enhance security measures.

March 13, 2026, 00:00 to 00:15 (UTC), BTC price fluctuated within the range of 70394.0 to 71116.3 USDT in just 15 minutes, with a return rate of +0.84% and volatility amplitude reaching 1.02%. During this period, mainstream market attention increased, driving active trading and notably elevated price volatility, reflecting a marked warming of market sentiment during this timeframe. The primary driver of this price movement was large on-chain fund transfers and concentrated whale account buying activity. Historical on-chain data observations show that single transfers exceeding 1000 BTC have frequently served as catalysts for upward price movements.

From 2026-03-12 23:00 to 2026-03-12 23:15 (UTC), ETH experienced significant price volatility with short-term returns reaching +0.72%. The K-line range was 2064.94-2085.0 USDT with an amplitude of 0.97%. Market volatility intensified, with increased attention and rising discussion of ETH topics on-chain and across social platforms, indicating upward resonance between capital flow and market sentiment. The primary driver of this volatility was whale fund inflow and institutional buying. On-chain monitoring data showed at least two transactions exceeding 5,000 ET

2026-03-12 15:15 to 2026-03-12 15:30 (UTC), ETH fluctuated within 1.15%, with price rising from 2047.22 USDT to 2070.72 USDT, achieving +0.94% gains. During the same period, market attention increased, trading volume expanded significantly, volatility enhanced compared to daily levels, and on-chain activity and capital flow data expanded synchronously, indicating concentrated efforts from bullish forces. The main driving forces behind this price movement stem from concentrated on-chain capital inflows and technical upgrade expectations resonance. On-chain data shows that during the anomaly period ETH activity

March 12, 2026, 09:30 to 09:45 (UTC): During this period, ETH price range was 2039.29 to 2062.42 USDT, achieving a +1.00% return rate within 15 minutes, with volatility reaching 1.13%. Market fluctuations intensified, overall attention increased significantly, and on-chain activity strengthened synchronously, displaying typical characteristics of rapid capital flow and institutional pushing power. The primary driver of this price movement stems from obvious on-chain capital inflow and direct stimulus from Ethereum 2.0 upgrade news. Within this time window, the number of on-chain ETH transactions

Ethereum network activity hits a record high, but prices have not kept pace, with daily active addresses approaching 2 million. Capital flow has become the main driving force, with inflows to trading platforms surpassing Bitcoin. Although ETH accounts for 52% of stablecoin supply, the market remains focused on capital movement. It is expected that by 2026, ETH prices could rebound to $3,000.

Institutional funds are flowing back into the Bitcoin market, with the US stock spot Bitcoin ETF recording a net inflow of $167 million, while investments in Ethereum and others are continuously withdrawing. The current price of Bitcoin is approximately $71,000. Analysts believe that under the influence of the macro environment and geopolitical factors, institutions prefer Bitcoin. Long-term institutional holdings are still increasing, with future target prices possibly ranging from $110,000 to $170,000. On the technical side, $72,000 is an important resistance level, and a drop below $65,000 could trigger a correction.